Very Early 2026 Tony Winner Predictions- Page 4

[ACL2006]

Posted: 5/11/26 at 10:15am

theatrekid3302 said: "ACL2006 said: "TWO STRANGERS should win. It's original and unique. Sadly, if it doesn't win Best Musical, it'll probably close at the end of June."

Probably the most boring musical I have ever seen. Some of the songs were good, but the set was a bore, and the cast consisting of only TWO PEOPLE made the story hard to follow and rather dull. Lost Boys and Schmigadoon were both fantastic and should be the main contenders for this award. I was at Schmigadoon yesterday, PACKED HOUSE, so much excitement. Same thing with the Lost Boys. For Two Strangers, the mezzanine was half empty and the audience was not that enthusiastic, mind you, that was the day of tony nomination announcements.

Between Lost Boys and Schmigadoon, I think Lost Boys should 100% win best musical it was breathtaking the scenic design, the flying, i think the storyline was great, music was great. Both of these shows have what we have been seeing less and less of on Broadway for years SPECTACLE. Both are expensive lavish productions with costumes, a large set, powerful vocals. That will be the story for whoever wins.

Schmigadoon specifically would be a signal that we miss the classics we want feel good musicals again. WE WANT BROADWAY."

You're in incompetent fool if you didn't understand TWO STRANGERS. Big musicals don't always win Best Musical. And Two Strangers has the Best book, hands down 

A Chorus Line revival played its final Broadway performance on August 17, 2008. The tour played its final performance on August 21, 2011. A new non-equity tour started in October 2012 played its final performance on March 23, 2013. Another non-equity tour launched on January 20, 2018. The tour ended its US run in Kansas City and then toured throughout Japan August & September 2018.

[OhHiii]

Posted: 5/11/26 at 10:17am

goodtimes123 said: "It's a parody of Celine Dion. It's fun and indeed a Schtick. Caissie is playing a character. And acting/singing the hell out of it."

Well Stephanie J Block and Jessie Mueller won their Tonys for impersonations...what's your point? Marla Mindelle is far from counted out. Caissie's performance could very well win her the Tony, but to say she's going to win over Marla simply bc Marla is parodying a living person is a bit absurd. Especially when considering that *successful* comedy is widely regarded as much more difficult a craft than dramatics.

[OhHiii]

Posted: 5/11/26 at 10:21am

BroadwayGirl107 said: "I think it’d be such a bummer if something wins Best Musical because it’s a big flashy musical adapted from a movie, or a barely new musical that’s basically a TV show on stage."

That's frankly a very stupid reason to be rooting against something when they're good to great adaptations of their source material. If the product is good, it shouldn't matter where the material came from if it stands on it's own which both of those mentioned do...

[Jarethan]

Posted: 5/11/26 at 10:26am

theatrekid3302 said: "JSquared2 said: "Wayman_Wong said: "''I just thought they wouldn't give BM to Schmigadoon! which is a limited run,''

''Schmigadoon!,''set to run through Sept. 6, 2026, has now been extended through Jan. 3, 2027."



Wayman, you should (and probably DO) know better -- "extended" only means that they've put tickets on sale until that date. They could still post closing on Monday. It'll run at least through the Tonys -- but if you look at ANYdate on the show's ticketing site, there are a lotof unsold seats!

"

When i went every seat was taken. I am sure they make a lot off of same-day ticket sales / rush."

 

It doesn't matter if they are filled or not. Look at the weekly grosses...most of the shows are 90%+ attendance.  Attendance, coupled with average ticket price is what matters, and Schmiggadoon's is bad.  I doubt that they have had a breakeven week yet

[Jeffrey Karasarides]

Posted: 5/11/26 at 10:47am

OhHiii said: "goodtimes123 said: "It's a parody of Celine Dion. It's fun and indeed a Schtick. Caissie is playing a character. And acting/singing the hell out of it."

Well Stephanie J Block and Jessie Mueller won their Tonys for impersonations...what's your point? Marla Mindelle is far from counted out. Caissie's performance could very well win her the Tony, but to say she's going to win over Marla simply bc Marla is parodying a living person is a bit absurd. Especially when considering that *successful* comedy is widely regarded as much more difficult a craft than dramatics."

Keep in mind, there's a difference between impersonating a real-life person and portraying them. Block and Mueller both won for portraying legendary recording artists in biographical shows that weren't parodies.

[BroadwayGirl107]

Posted: 5/11/26 at 11:08am

OhHiii said: "BroadwayGirl107 said: "I think it’d be such a bummer if something wins Best Musical because it’s a big flashy musical adapted from a movie, or a barely new musical that’s basically a TV show on stage."

That's frankly a very stupid reason to be rooting against something when they're good to great adaptations of their source material. If the product is good, it shouldn't matter where the material came from if it stands on it's own which both of those mentioned do..."

Is it stupid that I’m rooting for Two Strangers or Titanique because I think they’re better shows and enjoyed them more??