Way Too Early 2019 Tony Predictions thread — Page 17

SomethingPeculiar said: "Mike Barrett said: "I haven't seen it so I can't verify, but it sounds like his role is a bit too small for a tony nom in that show. I think his chance is with choir boy but ya holy crap it is stacked. I mean I can see ANY of the people listed you mentioned nominated. Paddy might be vulnerable you're right, although I expect mass love for The Ferryman at least in terms of nominations. Should be a really fun category to watch. While I think Cranston deserves it, I don't think he is a 100% lock to win yet but a likely favorite for sure."


My theory: Jeff Danielsis a 2x nominee (soon to be 3x), has worked steadily in theatre his whole life, and people love Mockingbirdbut it's not winningBest Play. So as a way of honoringMockingbird,they'll give Daniels the Tony (and will probably beMockingbird's only win). Daniels is a very good part of a very good play, whereasBryan Cranston is the best part ofNetwork,but he just won a few years agofor a similarly "big" performance.

I think you're right that the passion forFerryman helps Paddy.
Pope will probably miss both categories...but he'll win a Theatre World Award!

Best Actress in a Play is crazilystacked, too: Elaine May, Glenda Jackson, Laura Donnelly, Laurie Metcalf, Heidi Schreck, Annette Bening, Kerry Washington, Janet McTeer, Keri Russell,Cherry Jones, and maybe Kristine Nielsen depending on the size of the role."

I was going to say if anything for Mockinbird, I think its Celia Keenan Bolger. 3 time tony nominee and honestly was one of the many standout performances, and may be the best of this amazing production. I could see it winning best play still however. I don't think Ferryman is a lock, although if I had to choose 1 Id lean Ferryman. Both shows are incredible though. Should be an exciting raise.

I sort of forgot about Celia, but now I agree that this could be her year! And it doesn't hurt that she's basically the a lead in a Featured category. At the moment, I think she's the frontrunner, though we'll know soon if Kristine Nielsen and Julie White could be threats.

There's a world where Heidi Schreck gets nominated for Actress, especially if votes are close (meaning we get 6 or 7 nominees). There seem to be 3 locks so far (Elaine May, Glenda Jackson, Laura Donnelly), with ~4 other viable contenders. One other factor: Constitution could win or be a finalist for the Pulitzer Prize for Drama. If it gets Pulitzer attention (as some have speculated), I would be shocked if it doesn't get Tony-nominated. The only two locks right now are Ferryman and Mockingbird –– everything else is fair game.

A lot of unknowns hinge on Hillary, Gary, Burn This, and All My Sons. We'll find out about the Pulitzers on April 15.

Maybe I'm thinking out of my ass but I can definitely see BMC getting a costume nomination. Some of the party scene costumes and outfits are absolutely wild. Very reminiscent of Spongebob.

I still think Cher will take the Tony either way though.

I'm assuming they'll still divide them up, but do you think there's any chance we just get 1 "Best Revival" category since there are only 2 eligible for Musical revival??

Here's the official wording from the Tony Rulebook: "Each year the Tony Awards Administration Committee shall determine whether there shall exist in quality and quantity a sufficient number of Revivals to merit the granting of an Award for Best Revival of a Play or Musical and, if so, the Tony Awards Administration Committee shall also determine whether there shall be a separate Play and Musical Revival category; provided, however, that if there are at least THREE such plays and three such musicals, there shall automatically be separate Play and Musical Revival categories."

^Mockingbird also has original music by (the very problematic) Adam Guettel

Aight! I need to know Stephanie's chances from the vets in here. I'm very nervous, I would never go see this show if she wasn't in it. I probably won't be able to afford the trip anyway. What are her chances?

I would compare Mackie's nomination to the Tony win for the Priscilla Queen of the Desert win for costumes. Same designer and many of the same costumes from the movie.

Seems like the clear winner for the 2020 Best Musical will be Bat Out Of Hell.

jbird5 said: "CukorLover said: "Considering O'Hara's raves tonight for "Kate," she's one step closer to taking that trophy from Block. Looks like Bleu and Styles may be in the running for the "Featured" category as well. And, it's most likely Carlyle for the "Choreography" win!"

Raves? You mean the ones that called her bland and horribly miscast?"

Times did give her a rave, and said no one else is on her level. Just one review but not all of them last night were bad. I fully expect a nomination for Kelli.

CT2NYC said:
"Possibilities:


Joan Allen
Mercedes Ruehl
Julie White
Cherry Jones
Fionnula Flanagan"

Fingers crossed for Dearbhla Molloy, who blew me away in The Ferryman.

Joan has a shot since I think Waverly may get the most love out of the play revivals, so the love for that show may jolt her into that category. Such a competitive season for plays though. As someone who hasn't followed them too closely, are the plays generally this strong and competitive? I feel the past few musical seasons have been so weak, and are often more imbalanced in terms of consistent quality of productions, but I have seen a lot of plays this year and while some were better than others, all were very high quality imo. But comparing Hadestown to Pretty Woman, they're just on different levels I feel. Wasnt sure if this is just the way the industry is gong or if the plays that land on broadway tend to be more consistent.