...according to Michael Riedel of the New York Post. http://nypost.com/2015/04/15/an-american-in-paris-looks-strongest-in-tony-race/
Well yeah it's easy to say that when reviews for Fun Home, Something Rotten and Finding Neverland aren't out yet. AAIP will probably get nominated but it's not our winner.
Only for a nomination, not a win. He doesn't discuss winning at all.
Stand-by Joined: 4/8/15
if only Fun Home got a Pulitzer nom then it might have won
Stand-by Joined: 4/8/15
if only Fun Home got a Pulitzer nom then it might have won
REIDEL WRITES: If “Finding Neverland” is nominated, watch for Weinstein to spend a fortune chasing the Tony. No one else on Broadway this season has his resources.
But he must deploy his millions wisely and tastefully. Tony voters will look askance at splashy displays of wealth.
Right, those high brow Tony voters would never cast a vote for an undeserving piece of garbage - unless of course it promises to tour and make money for them. Such integrity.
Stand-by Joined: 12/1/14
"if only Fun Home got a Pulitzer nom then it might have won"
Fun Home was a Pulitzer finalist.
Understudy Joined: 11/14/14
Amazing how a few weeks, or even days ago, the buzz on these boards by many were that this show was dead and buried. Wow, I've been calling this THE WINNER for months. Handicaping ain't so easy at the track and certainly not B'way. Congrats to this original, inspired and powerhouse show.
Broadway Legend Joined: 7/29/08
Curious3, what show are you talking about? Because American in Paris is certainly not "original." In any sense of the word.
To the OP: Michael Riedel also thought Bullets over Broadway would sweep the Tonys, did he not?
"REIDEL WRITES: If “Finding Neverland” is nominated, watch for Weinstein to spend a fortune chasing the Tony. No one else on Broadway this season has his resources.
But he must deploy his millions wisely and tastefully. Tony voters will look askance at splashy displays of wealth."
Didn't "Avenue Q" supposedly "buy" their Tony's?
"Well yeah it's easy to say that when reviews for Fun Home, Something Rotten and Finding Neverland aren't out yet. AAIP will probably get nominated but it's not our winner"
I am just happy that this appears to be a very strong year for Broadway musicals and that it may actually be a real tough decision for nominations for "Best Musical".
I agree with the nominees being:
FUN HOME (who should win)
SOMETHING ROTTEN (who could win)
AN AMERICAN IN PARIS
FINDING NEVERLAND
THE VISIT (a possible 5th slot or takes FINDING NEVERLAND's spot)
I just saw both An American In Paris and Finding Neverland this last weekend. God forbid that Finding Neverland should get a nomination except for maybe Matthew Morrison who works very hard at turning a pig's ear into a silk purse. I found it a big musically charmless bore with one very clever special effect.
I loved American In Paris which is a gorgeously sung,danced and designed show and will look forward to seeing it again and hope it will be nominated as I feel it is deserving in every acting and craft department.
Stand-by Joined: 9/25/12
My opinion, for what it's worth, is that this year's four spots will be AAIP, Neverland, Fun Home, Rotten-- with a chance that The Visit could sneak in for a 5th spot. Now, while, personally, I think Fun Home is the best, I think politics prohibit it from being an actual winning contender. I also think The Visit (again, just me personally) doesn't actually deserve a nomination but may get one anyway, but also has no chance of winning. Now, among AAIP, Rotten, and Neverland, I actually think there are exactly equal odds each will win-- rotten is a comedy and has Jordan Roth's machine behind it. Obviously Neverland has huge piles of money, and major ego, along with a recognizable title that could appeal to touring houses. AAIP has some big industry players involved, and momentum seems to be on its side. So I think this will be a political battle, and I just happen to think Jordan Roth's party is the strongest here. But you never know. AAIP has smitten most who see it. Could go all the way.
Here's my breakdown for each of the possible nominees this year:
Likely Nominees:
An American in Paris
Fun Home
Could Get In (Depending on the Reviews):
Doctor Zhivago
Finding Neverland
Something Rotten!
The Visit
What Shouldn't Be Ruled Out:
Honeymoon in Vegas
Count Out:
Holler If Ya Hear Me
It Shoulda Been You
The Last Ship
Broadway Legend Joined: 7/29/08
Jeffrey, where do I begin on how wrong that list is? Don't rule out Honeymoon in Vegas but DO rule out The Last Ship? Talk to some of the voters I know, and then tell me that.
At the point I'd say the four likely nominees will be: Something Rotten, Finding Neverland, Fun Home & An American In Paris.
Broadway Legend Joined: 5/27/14
i give the board high marks for sussing out the top shows this season
and thanks to all of you for helping me make good decisions on what to see...you guys are awesome!
im excited to see some great shows in two weeks, and moved american in paris from a maybe to a definite based on all your feedback....
doubtful dr zhivago or visit will get rave reviews but we will have to see.
Right now the lineup for my trip is
on the 20th century
fun home
Finding neverland
an american in paris
The King and I
On the town
Something Rotten
Hamilton(maybe trying to decide on scalper seats)
very excited, great seats for every show, and not too worried about what im missing....
The reason Honeymoon in Vegas shouldn't be ruled out is because if you go back and read the reviews, they were very glowing, and I think the fact that it closed prematurely might lead some nominators to feel more sympathy towards it.
The reason I think The Last Ship should be ruled out is because if you go back and read the reviews, they were mostly kind, just not exactly raves. I think the show's best chance at a nomination would definitely be Score, I'll be surprised if it's nominated for Best Musical.
Broadway Legend Joined: 7/29/08
Tony nominations are not based on reviews. In fact, none of the Tony nominators are critics. This is a flaw in your logic.
I wouldn't be surprised if Finding Neverland is snubbed for the top prize.
It would be purely political if FN is snubbed.
Tony nominations are not based on reviews. In fact, none of the Tony nominators are critics. This is a flaw in your logic.
I know that, but don't the reviews still kind of give you a sense of what's been well-liked within the industry?
And that's why I wouldn't be surprised by it.
It would be purely political if FN is snubbed.
Oh, do tell! You seem so certain!
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