2022 Tony Awards Predictions- Page 10

[pollster2]

Posted: 5/6/22 at 12:30pm

My final predictions:

Best Play
- Hangmen
- Skeleton Crew
- The Lehman Trilogy
- The Minutes
- Thoughts of a Colored Man

Best Musical
- A Strange Loop
- Flying Over Sunset
- Girl From the North Country
- Mr. Saturday Night
- Six

Best Revival of Play
- For Colored Girls Who Have Considered Suicide/When the Rainbow is Enuf
- How I Learned to Drive
- Take Me Out
- The Skin of Our Teeth
- Trouble in Mind

Best Revival of a Musical
- Caroline, or Change
- Company
- The Music Man

Best Book of Musical
- Michael R. Jackson, A Strange Loop
- James Lapine, Flying Over Sunset
- Conor McPherson, Girl From the North Country
- Billy Crystal, Lowell Ganz and Babaloo Mandel, Mr. Saturday Night
- Toby Marlow and Lucy Moss, Six

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Play
- Sam Rockwell, American Buffalo
- David Morse, How I Learned to Drive
- Daniel Craig, Macbeth
- Adam Godley, The Lehman Trilogy
- Simon Russell Beale, The Lehman Trilogy

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Play
- Deirdre O'Connell, Dana H.
- Mary-Louise Parker, How I Learned to Drive
- Ruth Negga, Macbeth
- Gabby Beans, The Skin of Our Teeth
- LaChanze, Trouble in Mind

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Musical
- Jaquel Spivey, A Strange Loop
- Myles Frost, MJ
- Billy Crystal, Mr. Saturday Night
- Rob McClure, Mrs. Doubtfire
- Hugh Jackman, The Music Man

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Musical
- Sharon D. Clarke, Caroline, or Change
- Katrina Lenk, Company
- Mare Winningham, Girl From the North Country
- Joaquina Kalukango, Paradise Square
- Sutton Foster, The Music Man

Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Play
- Alfie Allen, Hangmen
- Jesse Tyler Ferguson, Take Me Out
- Michael Oberholtzer, Take Me Out
- Austin Pendleton, The Minutes
- Chuck Cooper, Trouble in Mind

Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Play
- Uzo Aduba, Clyde's
- Kenita R. Miller, For Colored Girls Who Have Considered Suicide/When the Rainbow is Enuf
- Amber Gray, Macbeth
- Phylicia Rashad, Skeleton Crew
- Jessie Mueller, The Minutes

Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Musical
- John-Andrew Morrison, A Strange Loop
- Claybourne Elder, Company
- Matt Doyle, Company
- David Paymer, Mr. Saturday Night
- Jefferson Mays, The Music Man

Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Musical
- L Morgan Lee, A Strange Loop
- Jennifer Simard, Company
- Patti LuPone, Company
- Jane Lynch, Funny Girl
- Jeannette Bayardelle, Girl From the North Country

Best Direction of a Play
- Camille A. Brown, For Colored Girls Who Have Considered Suicide/When the Rainbow is Enuf
- Matthew Dunster, Hangmen
- Scott Ellis, Take Me Out
- Sam Mendes, The Lehman Trilogy
- Anna D. Shapiro, The Minutes

Best Direction of a Musical
- Stephen Brackett, A Strange Loop
- Marianne Elliott, Company
- Conor McPherson, Girl From the North Country
- Lucy Moss and Jamie Armitage, Six
- Jerry Zaks, The Music Man

Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics) Written for the Theatre
- Michael R. Jackson, A Strange Loop
- Tom Kitt and Michael Korie, Flying Over Sunset
- Jason Robert Brown and Amanda Green, Mr. Saturday Night
- Jason Howland, Nathan Tysen, and Masi Asare, Paradise Square
- Toby Marlow and Lucy Moss, Six

Best Choreography
- Camille A. Brown, For Colored Girls Who Have Considered Suicide/When the Rainbow is Enuf
- Christopher Wheeldon, MJ
- Bill T. Jones, Paradise Square
- Carrie-Anne Ingrouille, Six
- Warren Carlyle, The Music Man

Best Scenic Design of a Play
- Myung Hee Cho and Aaron Rhyne, For Colored Girls Who Have Considered Suicide/When the Rainbow is Enuf
- Anna Fleischle, Hangmen
- Rachel Hauck and Lucy Mackinnon, How I Learned to Drive
- David Rockwell, Take Me Out
- Es Devlin, The Lehman Trilogy

Best Scenic Design of a Musical
- Arnulfo Maldonado, A Strange Loop
- Bunny Christie, Company
- Beowulf Boritt and 59 Productions, Flying Over Sunset
- Allen Moyer, Paradise Square
- Santo Loquasto, The Music Man

Best Costume Design of a Play
- Sarafina Bush, For Colored Girls Who Have Considered Suicide/When the Rainbow is Enuf
- Anna Fleischle, Hangmen
- Dede Ayite, How I Learned to Drive
- Linda Cho, Take Me Out
- Katrina Lindsay, The Lehman Trilogy

Best Costume Design of a Musical
- Bunny Christie, Company
- William Ivey Long, Diana
- Catherine Zuber, Mrs. Doubtfire
- Gabriella Slade, Six
- Santo Loquasto, The Music Man

Best Lighting Design of a Play
- Jiyoun Chang, For Colored Girls Who Have Considered Suicide/When the Rainbow is Enuf
- Joshua Carr, Hangmen
- Mark McCullough, How I Learned to Drive
- Kenneth Posner, Take Me Out
- Jon Clark, The Lehman Trilogy

Best Lighting Design of a Musical
- Jen Schriever, A Strange Loop
- Neil Austin, Company
- Bradley King, Flying Over Sunset
- Natasha Katz, MJ
- Tim Deiling, Six

Best Sound Design of a Play
- Justin Ellington, For Colored Girls Who Have Considered Suicide/When the Rainbow is Enuf
- Ian Dickinson and For Autograph, Hangmen
- David Van Tieghem, How I Learned to Drive
- Bray Poor, Take Me Out
- Nick Powell and Dominic Bilkey, The Lehman Trilogy

Best Sound Design of a Musical
- Ian Dickinson, Company
- Simon Baker, Girl From the North Country
- Gareth Owen, MJ
- Paul Gatehouse, Six
- Scott Lehrer, The Music Man

Best Orchestrations
- Charlie Rosen, A Strange Loop
- David Cullen, Company
- Simon Hale and Conor McPherson, Girl From the North Country
- Tom Curran, Six
- Jonathan Tunick, The Music Man

Nominations by Show
12: Company
10: A Strange Loop; The Music Man:
9: Six
8: For Colored Girls Who Have Considered Suicide/When the Rainbow is Enuf; Take Me Out; The Lehman Trilogy
7: Girl From the North Country; Hangmen; How I Learned to Drive
5: Flying Over Sunset; Mr. Saturday Night
4: MJ; Paradise Squire; The Minutes
3: Macbeth; Trouble in Mind
2: Caroline, or Change; Mrs. Doubtfire; Skeleton Crew; The Skin of Our Teeth
1: American Buffalo; Clyde’s, Dana H.; Diana; Funny Girl; Thoughts of a Colored Man

[kurtal]

Posted: 5/7/22 at 6:09pm

Here are my final predictions:

Best Musical

Girl from the North Country
MJ
Mr. Saturday Night
Six
A Strange Loop

Play

Dana H.
Hangmen
The Lehman Trilogy
The Minutes
Skeleton Crew

Musical Revival

Caroline, or Change
Company
The Music Man

Play Revival

for colored girls...
How I Learned to Drive
The Skin of Our Teeth
Take Me Out
Trouble in Mind

Book of a Musical

Girl from the North Country (Conor McPherson)
Mr. Saturday Night (Billy Crystal, Lowell Ganz & Babaloo Mandel)
Paradise Square (Christina Anderson & Marcus Gardley)
Six (Toby Marlow & Lucy Moss)
A Strange Loop (Michael R. Jackson)

Lead Actress in a Musical

Sharon D. Clarke, Caroline, or Change
Carmen Cusack, Flying Over Sunset
Sutton Foster, The Music Man
Joaquina Kalukango, Paradise Square
Katrina Lenk, Company

Lead Actor in a Musical

Billy Crystal, Mr. Saturday Night
Myles Frost, MJ
Hugh Jackman, The Music Man
Rob McClure, Mrs. Doubtfire
Jaquel Spivey, A Strange Loop

Lead Actress in a Play

Gabby Beans, The Skin of Our Teeth
LaChanze, Trouble in Mind
Ruth Negga, Macbeth
Deirdre O'Connell, Dana H.
Mary-Louise Parker, How I Learned to Drive

Lead Actor in a Play

Simon Russell Beale, The Lehman Trilogy
Adam Godley, The Lehman Trilogy
David Morse, How I Learned to Drive
Sam Rockwell, American Buffalo
David Threlfall, Hangmen

Featured Actress in a Musical

Shoshana Bean, Mr. Saturday Night
L. Morgan Lee, A Strange Loop
Patti LuPone, Company
Jane Lynch, Funny Girl
Jennifer Simard, Company

Featured Actor in a Musical

Quentin Earl Darrington, MJ
Matt Doyle, Company
Claybourne Elder, Company
Jarred Grimes, Funny Girl
John-Andrew Morrison, A Strange Loop

Featured Actress in a Play

Uzo Aduba, Clyde's
Rachel Dratch, POTUS
Jessica Francis Dukes, Trouble in Mind
Kenita R. Miller, for colored girls...
Phylicia Rashad, Skeleton Crew

Featured Actor in a Play

Chuck Cooper, Trouble in Mind
Jesse Tyler Ferguson, Take Me Out
Ron Cephas Jones, Clyde's
Michael Oberholtzer, Take Me Out
Austin Pendleton, The Minutes

Director (Musical)

Caroline, or Change (Michael Longhurst)
Company (Marianne Elliott)
Girl from the North Country (Conor McPherson)
Six (Lucy Moss & Jamie Armitage)
A Strange Loop (Stephen Brackett)

Director (Play)

for colored girls... (Camille A. Brown)
Hangmen (Matthew Dunster)
The Lehman Trilogy (Sam Mendes)
The Minutes  (Anna D. Shapiro)
Take Me Out (Scott Ellis)

Score

Flying Over Sunset (Tom Kitt & Michael Korie)
The Lehman Trilogy (Nick Powell)
Paradise Square (Jason Howland, Nathan Tyson & Masi Asare)
Six (Toby Marlow & Lucy Moss)
A Strange Loop (Michael R. Jackson)

Choreography

for colored girls... (Camille A. Brown)
Funny Girl (Ellenore Scott)
MJ (Christopher Wheeldon)
The Music Man (Warren Carlyle)
Paradise Square  (Bill T. Jones)

Scenic Design (Play)

Hangmen (Anna Fleishle)
The Lehman Trilogy (Es Devlin)
POTUS (Beowulf Boritt)
The Skin of Our Teeth (Adam Rigg)
Take Me Out (David Rockwell)

Scenic Design (Musical)

Caroline, or Change (Fly Davis)
Company (Bunny Christie)
Girl from the North Country (Rae Smith)
The Music Man (Santo Loquasto)
A Strange Loop (Arnulfo Maldonado)

Costume Design (Play)

Chicken & Biscuits (Dede Ayite)
Plaza Suite (Jane Greenwood)
The Skin of Our Teeth (Montana Levi Blanco)
The Lehman Trilogy (Katrina Lindsay)
Trouble in Mind (Emilio Sosa)

Costume Design (Musical)

Funny Girl (Susan Hilferty)
Girl from the North Country (Rae Smith)
Mrs. Doubtfire (Catherine Zuber)
The Music Man (Santo Loquasto)
Paradise Square (Toni-Leslie James)

Lighting Design (Play)

Dana H. (Paul Toben)
for colored girls... (Jiyoun Chang)
Hangmen (Joshua Carr)
The Lehman Trilogy (Jon Clark)
The MInutes (Brian MacDevitt)

Lighting Design (Musical)

Company (Neil Austin)
Girl from the North Country (Mark Henderson)
The Music Man (Brian MacDevitt)
Six (Tim Deiling)
A Strange Loop (Jen Schriever)

Sound Design (Play)

Dana H. (Mikhail Fiksel)
Hangmen (Ian Dickinson & For Autograph)
The Lehman Trilogy (Nick Powell & Dominic Bilkey)
The Minutes (André Pluess)
Take Me Out (Bray Poor)

Sound Design (Musical)

Caroline, or Change (Paul Arditti)
Company (Ian Dickinson)
Flying Over Sunset (Dan Moses Schreier)
Girl from the North Country (Simon Baker)
Six (Paul Gatehouse)

Orchestrations

Company (David Cullen)
Flying Over Sunset (Michael Starobin)
Girl from the North Country (Simon Hale)
Six (Tom Curran)
A Strange Loop (Charlie Rosen)

Shows by Noms:
11: Company
10: A Strange Loop
9: The Lehman Trilogy
8: Girl from the North Country
7: The Music Man, Six
6: Hangmen, Take Me Out
5: Caroline, or Change, for colored girls..., The Minutes, Paradise Square, Trouble in Mind
4: Dana H., Flying Over Sunset, Funny Girl, MJ, Mr. Saturday Night, The Skin of Our Teeth
3: How I Learned to Drive
2: Clyde's, Mrs. Doubtfire, POTUS, Skeleton Crew
1: American Buffalo, Chicken & Biscuits, Macbeth, Plaza Suite

[jkcohen626]

Posted: 5/7/22 at 8:12pm

I agree with or would at least be comfortable with all of these with the singular exception of Paradise Square for Book. The book for that show was so weak! I think MJ will get that last spot. 

[KevinKlawitter]

Posted: 5/8/22 at 8:52am

I'm trying to finalize my predictions on Gold Derby ahead of the announcement tomorrow, and for some reason Jesse Williams isn't even listed as an option in Best Actor in a Play anymore..  was there some kind of eligibility thing that I missed, or is Gold Derby just being weird again?

At any rate, my predictions are, I think, bit riskier... mostly because I have no idea what I'm talking about. Some of the long shots I'm still married to are Flying Over Sunset in Best Musical & maybe Best Actress in a Musical, Pass Over in Best Play, and Jesse Williams & Ruben Santiago-Hudson in Best Actor

 

[The Distinctive Baritone]

Posted: 5/8/22 at 10:02am

Jesse Williams was deemed featured. Daniel Sunjata was nominated as featured when he originated the role so I guess the committee felt it’s mostly an ensemble piece.

[EDSOSLO858]

Posted: 5/8/22 at 1:18pm

JMO:

I think The Lehman Trilogy will nab a Score nomination and bump Paradise Square out of the category. 

I believe Samantha Williams gets a Featured Actress in a Musical nod - this is the same role that won Anika Noni Rose a Tony in 2004. 
 

Count me in the camp that thinks Morrison and Lee will each get Featured Actor / Actress noms for A Strange Loop because the show will be getting so much Tony love.

Same with Company, as I believe Sieber gets nominated for Featured Actor along with Doyle and Elder. 
 
If SIX does not get nominated for Costume Design of a Musical, it is most likely getting shut out of any awards… though that could easily be the case even with a nomination in this category. 

Like I said before, Company will lead the musical pack in nominations, and eventually, wins. For plays, Lehman is the clear front runner for top honors, but do they lead in nominations? And who will take revival: Take Me Out or How I Learned to Drive?

 


 

Updated On: 5/8/22 at 01:18 PM

[BCfitasafiddle]

Posted: 5/8/22 at 2:49pm

My Final Nomination Predictions for Tomorrow (Doing musicals only as I haven't seen all of the plays and don't want to speculate).

Best Musical:

Girl From the North Country

MJ

Mr. Saturday Night

Six

A Strange Loop

 

Best Revival of a Musical:

Caroline, Or Change

Company

The Music Man

 

Best Leading Actor in a Musical:

Billy Crystal, Mr. Saturday Night

Myles Frost, MJ

Hugh Jackman, The Music Man

Rob McClure, Mrs. Doubtfire

Jaquel Spivey, A Strange Loop

 

Best Leading Actress in a Musical: 

Sharon D. Clarke, Caroline, Or Change

Sutton Foster, The Music Man

Joaquina Kalukango, Paradise Square

Katrina Lenk, Company

Mare Winningham, Girl From the North Country

 

Best Featured Actor in a Musical:

Matt Doyle, Company

Claybourne Elder, Compay

David Paymer, Mr. Saturday Night

John-Andrew Morrison, A Strange Loop

Jefferson Mays, The Music Man

 

Best Featured Actress in a Musical:

Shoshana Bean, Mr. Saturday Night

L. Morgan Lee, A Strange Loop

Patti Lupone, Company

Jane Lynch, Funny Girl

Jennifer Simard, Company

(Would love to see Caissie Levy in here too)

 

Best Score:

A Strange Loop

Six

Flying Over Sunset

Paradise Square

Mr. Saturday Night

 

Best Book:

A Strange Loop

Six

Mr. Saturday Night

MJ

Girl From the North Country

 

Best Director:

Company

A Strange Loop

Six

Girl From the North Country

The Music Man

Updated On: 5/8/22 at 02:49 PM

[Wayman_Wong]

Posted: 5/8/22 at 4:35pm

GoldDerby pundits post their final predictions for Tony nominations.

Sam Eckmann, David Buchanan (GoldDerby), Brian Scott Lipton (Cititour) and Michael Musto (Queerty, Village Voice) debate who'll make (or miss) the cut.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PnPpGxbDpAQ

[YvanEhtNioj]

Posted: 5/8/22 at 5:54pm

I just finished watching that. Interesting that they think Sutton will be left out..

Im VERY excited for the return of the Theatre Talk Tony Predictions. It’s always so funny to see how confident they are about the nominations, and then rewatch it after the Tonys. Anyone else remember “Fun Home isn’t going to win anything”-gate?

Updated On: 5/8/22 at 05:54 PM

[jkcohen626]

Posted: 5/8/22 at 7:23pm

My final predictions: 

https://www.goldderby.com/my-predictions/jkcohen626/tony-awards-nominations-2022-predictions/

This is my first time doing this, so I have no idea how it might shape out! I'm excited to finally know though! Looking forward to 9:00 am!!!

[HenryTDobson]

Posted: 5/9/22 at 7:55am

1 hour to go!!!! Any last minute *crazy* predictions?? 

Brittany Mack gets into leading actress over Sutton.

They nominate all 4 musical revivals.

Diana gets in for costumes.

[quizking101]

Posted: 5/9/22 at 8:21am

I would love to see Caissie Levy get in Featured Actress over Shoshana Bean.

The role Bean has does not match her talents and shouldn’t be the reason she finally gets her first Tony nod.

I also expect FOR COLORED GIRLS to be a big nominations darling - including a double nod for Camille Brown for directing and choreography 

[vfd88]

Posted: 5/9/22 at 8:27am

HenryTDobson said: "Brittany Mack gets into leading actress over Sutton."

I’m predicting this exact thing. I don’t feel good about it but it’s too late to change it now!