2022 Tony Awards Predictions — Page 8

I think Company is 100% winning.

If all of Feldstein's co-stars get nominations and she doesn't... I will definitely feel bad for the girl. Not that she's totally deserving. It's just such a monstrous role. What a shame.

jkcohen626 said: "Would Beans be leading or featured? She definitely feels like the lead of Skin of Our Teeth, but I know that how it feels and how the committee views things don't always match up (see Uzo)."

I think it's a grey area but my interpretation of this production is that it's an ensemble piece with nobody deserving to be in the Lead category.

I cant see ASL winning Scenic considering the majority of the show is just a bare stage until the end. Company or Funny Girl will take that one

Alex M said: "While I enjoyed Six quite a bit (I still listen to the cast album) it really is a head scratcher to me why people think its going to win over A Strange Loop. Recent years have shown us that the Tonys are not afraid to award the show the pushes boundaries and is different."

100% agree. I'm expecting 2018 all over again. I would say SIX is better than shows like Frozen and mean Girls, but I don't see the voters being afraid of going for the less commercial pick. I can still recognize that The Band's Visit was a VERY different show than A Strange Loop, but I still think its the clear frontrunner for Best Musical.

Alex M said: "While I enjoyed Six quite a bit (I still listen to the cast album) it really is a head scratcher to me why people think its going to win over A Strange Loop. Recent years have shown us that the Tonys are not afraid to award the show the pushes boundaries and is different."



In generally I agree with this take, but if I were to play devil's advocate:

Six originated at the Edinburgh Fringe festival - largely known hosting smaller, more off-beat, avant garde shows. While Six has become something of a minor juggernaut, you can still ascribe an "underdog," "prestige" narrative to it, by way of its humble beginnings. And it manages to have its cake and eat it to, by providing a fun, easily digestible experience, with a somewhat more intellectual, high-brow concept.

In other words, I don't think the more artistically-minded voters - those who are working to reject the IP-domination on Broadway - would be resistant to voting for it.

I know this is an unorthodox year, but I keep thinking about Laura Benanti and Nikki M. James' award seasons for Women/Verge and Mormon, respectively. I think as much as Clarke deserves Best Actress, I could see it going to Joaquina as a way to honor Paradise Square... plus because the show is currently running.

jacobsnchz14 said: "I know this is an unorthodox year, but I keep thinking about Laura Benanti and Nikki M. James' award seasons for Women/Verge and Mormon, respectively. I think as much as Clarke deserves Best Actress, I could see it going to Joaquina as a way to honor Paradise Square... plus because the show is currently running."

Nikki got swept up in the love for MORMON, which has happened for other shows too when there's not a solid frontrunner (Shalhoub in Band's Visit, Michael Aronov in Oslo, Ruthie Ann in King and I). Joaquina is in a megaflop that a lot of voters probably aren't going to see, and is likely to close before the ceremony, and the material she has to work with is not good. I don't see another true contender in the Actress race. MAYBE Lenk could spoil if they really adore COMPANY, but I think most people view the show as working in spite of Lenk, not because of her –– and she's such a recent winner.

Or to put it another way: If Kelli O'Hara couldn't win for BRIDGES, there's no chance in hell Joaquina will win for PARADISE.

Updated On: 4/25/22 at 01:23 PM

Am I crazy for thinking that Sharon and Joaquina could split the vote between each other and pave the way to a Katrina win?

Katrina Lenk does a good job acting a poorly-written role, and a fairly good job singing it (personally I thought she did well with most of the score, but some of the critics clearly disagreed). Sharon D. Clarke, on the other hand, gives an absolutely transcendental performance of a deep, complex, and incredibly well-written role. I'd be shocked if Katrina (who does a good job with the material she's given) won over Sharon.

Don’t anyone count out Sutton Foster. Her best? No. But bad? Not at all. A beloved vet with 2 Tonys in the bag. Patti might not be the only one winning their 3rd come Tony night.

CityLights3 said: "Don’t anyone count out Sutton Foster. Her best? No. But bad? Not at all. A beloved vet with 2 Tonys in the bag. Patti might not be the only one winning their 3rd come Tony night. "

Foster winning would be a slap in the face to any other nominee. She's bottom of the barrel.

Now that the Funny Girl reviews are in, is there still a chance that Beanie would get a nomination before Katrina Lenk? I will be very upset if that happens.