It depends on who they get as Mother Superior in Sister Act. Or any of the largely featured nuns for that matter. I'd also love to see J. Elaine Marcos grab a nomination for Priscilla.
If PEOPLE IN THE PICTURE is a dud, and ANYTHING GOES isn't another GREASE, I could see Sutton walking away with this one.
I think unless Sutton gets mostly positive notices, Patina has a better chance than she does.
Even if The People in the Picture as a whole isn't well received, Donna Murphy still has a chance of getting great personal reviews and winning a Tony. She was very well-reviewed in Lovemusik (which was not really well-reviewed as a show) and I think would've won the Tony had Christine Ebersole not been in the category that year. She can turn out great performances in shows that critics don't like.
^ As wonderful as Murphy was in that show, has Ebersole not won it would've gone to McDonald.
I really must've missed something when I saw 110 in the Shade. I thought McDonald was very good, but I didn't think it was a Tony winning performance. Murphy was much more compelling, in my opinion.
I guess I was pointing out that Sutton Foster's been nominated each time she's been eligible as a lead just as a statistic. Which impressive on its own - I don't think may other actresses have been nominated so many times in just 10 years. Obviously they won't nominate just so her streak won't be broken, but so far she's been very good at picking shows that end up being well-liked on their own and/or provide a good showcase for her. The exception to that being, of course, Young Frankenstein.
And I agree that poor reviews could de-rail her but it would depend on how poor they are (for her as well as the production itself). For example, I think if Everday Rapture hadn't snuck in last year Chenoweth very well could've gotten the nomination just for showing up and for being in a show that was slightly better-liked than The Addams Family. If they hate Anything Goes less than they hate, say, Women on the Verge, she could be in.
Updated On: 12/18/10 at 01:19 AM
In reference to Featured Actress, Kate Shindle will be eligible as well, and potentially Karen Mason, depending on how the roles have been altered for WONDERLAND.
Broadway Legend Joined: 8/13/09
I see no reason for the nominating committee to reject a petition to have Rose Hemingway be considered for the Leading Actress award. Rosemary is the largest female role in the show and is a pretty significant character in terms of the plot.
And while neither of the previous Hedy LaRues or Smittys were nominated I don't think it should automatically rule out either of these two ladies from nabbing a spot in the Featured Actress race. Both roles provide a lot of material for a great comedienne to shine. And speaking of the material, has anybody heard any rumors as to whether or not "Cinderella, Darling" will be used in this production?
It's a shame Kate Shindle has to suffer.
Let's be honest. Sutton will be the front-runner.
Patina will get plenty of votes but I feel like Sutton has this one.
I don't get how we can call Sutton the front-runner without seeing her performance?
Updated On: 12/18/10 at 02:57 AM
Broadway Legend Joined: 12/18/07
I don't get how you can call anyone the front-runner or a lock because many of these shows haven't begun previews let alone opened.
Has anyone considered the possibility of Tony Sheldon as Best Actress?...(bad joke)
As wonderful as Murphy was in that show, has Ebersole not won it would've gone to McDonald.
McDonald and Murphy tied at The Drama Desk Awards, and Murphy won the Outer Critics Circle Award. So, I wouldn't necessarily say that McDonald was a lock to win if Ebersole hadn't been in the picture.
For this year--again, we know that Murphy is a favorite at the Tonys, but she's also opening a new musical that we know almost nothing about. Seriously, last June we were all saying how Sherie would be the clear favorite and how WOMEN ON THE VERGE was going to be the best musical in years. You really can't make these kinds of predictions so far in advance.
Re: Miller--I am not sure, but didn't she not receive the greatest reviews in London?
>Does anyone know about the size of Nikki M. James' role in The Book of Mormon? If it's an almost-lead like Rosemary or Mary Jane she could be in the running for this as well.<
She plays the largest female role in the show and is very funny throughout. But she'd probably still fall into the featured category.
Re: Miller--I am not sure, but didn't she not receive the greatest reviews in London?
Patina received raves in London. The show got very mixed reviews, but she had positive notice across the board.
I don't think may other actresses have been nominated so many times in just 10 years.
Well Audra for one comes to mind. And she won 4 out of her 5 between 1994 and 2004 (granted 2 were for plays, which I actually think is the harder award to win in the featured category).
And then of course there's Donna Murphy who has been nominated in the Leading Actress in a Musical category for her last 4 Broadway projects (a span of 13 years; soon to be 5 in 16 years). She won 2 of those 4 and was robbed of the 3rd in 2004.
And in the 10 years between 1976 and 1986, Chita was nominated 5 times in the Leading category.
Between 1956 and 1966, Gwen Verdon won 3 of the 4 leading actress awards she was nominated for.
Those were the ones that came to mind immediately. There may be more that I'm missing.
Sutton has been nominated four times in 7 years, winning once--it'll be 5 in 9 if she's nominated this year.
How can we even discuss this in December? Who knows what surprises the Spring will bring.
Are there any women in Book Of Mormon?
But for what it's worth, my early money is on Patina.
Stand-by Joined: 5/10/04
Just calling it early but think it's going to be between Donna Murphy and Sutton Foster.
And for those thinking you have to wait to see the performances are clearly misinformed as most of the people who vote for the nominees don't even see the performances. This business is just as political as any other business.
Are you speaking for the all the Tony voters? Just wondering if you did like a questionaire or survey or something to arrive at your conclusion.
Also, I'm pretty sure the voters do pay attention to what the critics say, so to judge a performance without it even being rehearsed yet is kinda silly.
Did the Tony Committee already decide that BRIEF ENCOUNTER was going to be considered a play instead of a musical? If not, Hannah Yelland would be a shoe-in.
I'd like to think Sherrie has a shot at getting the Tony this year only as a consolation for not winning last year. She was robbed if you ask me.
I can't remember the Tony's ever giving consolation prizes, but the Oscars do it all the time. lol.
Brief Encounter was deemed a new play.
It's definitely going to be an interesting race. Patina Miller gives the kind of star-making performance that won Sutton Foster her own Tony, Sutton Foster is in one of the great star-driven musicals and has an incredibly showy role, and Donna Murphy seems to have the kind of role designed for awards in a new show. I say right now (really early in the game) they are the three front-runners, again, this means nothing at this point in the game, I guess by this time last year the eventual winner in the category had already been seen by a lot of people. It's going to be interesting to see who'll end up the eventual winner. I kind of hope it's Murphy's turn to get a third Tony.
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