Does anyone think that All Shook Up will close? (I'm going in Sep)

It has a MUCH better reception that Good Vibes, and seems to have a good chance at a healthy run. I don't think it will close just because it's thrown into that same category. Plus, Lennon still has a whole other out-of-town run to shape up a bit, plus previews in New York.

I noticed that the attendance percentages are quite good. Many weeks have been at 90+% capacity. Now, the average ticket price is low ($40-$50 range), so there might be quite a few comps.

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You have to keep in mind that the balcony tickets are $19.55 each, which is going to keep the average ticket price lower than most shows.

I still can't figure out who was possessed by what to think that it would fill such an enormous theatre.

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To put things in context, 'All Shook Up' did 76.9% capacity (April 11-17), but the Palace seats 1,706. That's roughly a few hundred more than a number of musical houses on Broadway.

To compare, 'Dirty Rotten Scoundrels' is at the Imperial (1,435), 'Hairspray' is at the Neil Simon (1,435) and 'Spamalot' is at the Shubert (1,441). Capacity-wise, respectively, they are doing 87.2%, 96.5% and 101.3%. Needless to say, if 'All Shook Up' were playing a smaller theater, it could be doing capacity in the high 80s or low 90s.

If you're doing a simple head count, 'All Shook Up' brought in 10,496 people that week. 'Dirty Rotten Scoundrels' brought in 10,009 and 'Hairspray,' 10,337. 'Spamalot,' 11,681.

I have no idea what the nut for 'All Shook Up' is, but unlike 'Spamalot' or 'Dirty Rotten Scoundrels,' it probably doesn't need to pay the kind of star salaries that, say, John Lithgow or Tim Curry get. Any suggestion that the Elvis show is folding seems very premature. Ditto that 'the end is in sight for jukebox musicals.' (See 'Mamma Mia' or 'Movin' Out.')

I am seeing it next week, too.

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ALL SHOOK UP will probably score a couple of Tony nods and shouldn't have a problem running through the summer. This would also be an easy show to incorporate "stunt casting" if the producers have a mind to keep it running.

This may just be me, But say a production Company wanted to declare bankruptcy, wouldn't they have to close a show in order to do that? It's very clear that the Dogers are in big trouble, might that be the main reason for Good Vibes to close?

Sorry, if I made it sound as though I was generalizing the musical, I didn't mean too. I was just curious because throughout the run of GV and the start of Lennon, there was a lot of publicity and articles and talk. I have not heard as much on ASU, since it's opening. I didn't know if I should interpret that as 'no news is good news' or 'nobody wants to state the inevitable.' Anyway, just thought I'd clear that up. I wasn't saying, will it close because other jukebox musicals are, I was saying will it close because publicity (good or bad) has dwindled a tad?

ASU will make it because of word of mouth. its such a great show and for 20 bucks it beats anyday at the movies. im sure people will tell friends and continue to go themselves. i hope it stays open for a while

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There's no comparing GV and ASU. ASU looks like SWEENEY TODD when compared with GV.

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I haven't seen the show, but one of my friends has and she is obsessed with it. She's VERY picky with the musicals she likes and I've read the reviews and they're better than GV so it should go on for a long while.

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