Joined: 12/31/69
What are all of your thoughts on The Last Five Years's chances on receiving academy award nominations? Is it possible or will it never happen?
Broadway Legend Joined: 8/5/11
I think it will be good but I highly doubt it will be an academy award contender. Maybe a Golden Globe contender but neither role is meaty enough for Oscar consideration if you ask me.
Guys it might not even be for theatrical release.
I think this is going to be one of those movies that magically just shows up on Netflix one day without much hoopla.
Broadway Legend Joined: 8/5/11
Do your research, as of right there is no distributer attached and it is being produced by independent film companies.
Broadway Legend Joined: 8/13/09
I'm guessing they will be able to find a distributor who will be able to get it to at least some of the smaller, more independent theaters out there, but the odds of seeing it playing at a larger venue (like a Cinemark, AMC, Regal, etc) are probably pretty slim.
Broadway Legend Joined: 5/28/05
This is more likely to take the same route as Hedwig and the Angry inch did several years ago. It will hit the film festivals, maybe pick up a couple festival awards and then show up on DVD and/or Netflix. I don't think we are likely to see this at many of the the local multiplex theaters.
Chorus Member Joined: 5/3/13
Lots of photos from the set
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/tvshowbiz/article-2345513/Jeremy-Jordan-pulls-Anna-Kendrick-kiss-set-new-musical-film-The-Last-Five-Years.html
http://celebrity-gossip.net/anna-kendrick/anna-kendrick-jeremy-jordan-fun-%E2%80%9C-last-five-years%E2%80%9D-set-875592
http://www.justjared.com/2013/06/20/anna-kendrick-jeremy-jordan-last-five-years-on-the-island/
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/tvshowbiz/article-2343656/Anna-Kendrick-gets-close-hunky-star-Jeremy-Jordan-The-Last-Five-Years-set.html
http://www.justjared.com/2013/06/21/anna-kendrick-jeremy-jordan-kiss-for-last-five-years/
Updated On: 6/21/13 at 03:21 AM
Broadway Legend Joined: 11/8/11
After Pitch Perfect, Anna Kendrick in a movie musical will absolutely get picked up by a big distributor.
Oooo first kissing pictures!!!!!
And I believe a movie only needs to play in one or two theaters by Dec. 31st and it becomes elgibale.
There's a difference between eligible (*ahem*) and viable. Without distribution (or a studio campaign that would come along with distribution) an independent movie has less than zero likelihood of scoring Awards.
I don't think it's guaranteed that this gets picked up out of a festival, but I don't think it's impossible. It could be Safety Not Guaranteed or Sleepwalk With Me and play a few festivals, get great word of mouth, get picked up for limited distribution and pick up enough acclaim to score well on Netflix. (Sleepwalk might ultimately be the best analogy, also being a critically-acclaimed small off-Broadway semi-autobiographical show made into a small film... though Birbiglia's career trajectory and JRB's aren't really similar, nor are the shows these films are based on.)
Also, it's worth pointing out that Richard LaGravenese has a higher profile in the industry and that should help the distribution chances compared to a similar production without his involvement.
Broadway Legend Joined: 5/28/13
"After Pitch Perfect, Anna Kendrick in a movie musical will absolutely get picked up by a big distributor."
You're putting way too much stock in Anna and Pitch Perfect (as much as I love both things).
They're definitely going to go for the festival to distribution angle. The too small to succeed thing is too early to call at this point. No one could have anticipated (just in recent years) Winter's Bone, Beasts of the Southern Wild, Precious, or Little Miss Sunshine picking up Oscar nominations before the films were screened. They all went into festivals without a distributor and walked away with distribution deals and strong Oscar campaigns. A few indie films each year cause this kind of sensation and get a big push.
Now, that assuming The Last Five Years works as a film. It might not. It might be too slight a story or too theatrical in its conceit to translate to the screen. We'll see when it hits the festival circuit.
Movie musicals are a hard enough sell WITH name recognition. A musical that most have never heard of? Unlikely.
And as far as nominations....how can anyone possibly have any sort of actual insight without seeing the darn thing?
Broadway Legend Joined: 8/5/11
"And as far as nominations....how can anyone possibly have any sort of actual insight without seeing the darn thing?"
Well if the source material fits then its easy to maybe predict it for some awards. No one knows for sure obviously cause no one has seen it but take Les Mis for example: People had it in their Oscar line up the moment they knew Tom Hooper was directing it. The source material really screams oscars and the icing on the cake was all the hype about the live singing. It turns out many people were right to predict it for The academy awards cause it picked up several nominations. Just like many are predicting Streep's Witch to be very oscar baity. These are all just speculations and have no meaning but if you know what to watch for then it isn't impossible to predict films for Awards.
Another Example: At this point there are many Films that are "oscar bait" that we might see get nominations such as: Wolf of wallstreet, Momunments men, August osage county, Fruitvale station, Saving Mr.Banks, Blue jasmine and a couple others. Those types of films are almost tailor made to be Oscar contenders. The song "young and beautiful" from THE GREAT GATSBY will almost certainly get a nomination for song.
Its only speculation but most of the time Half of the guesses are usually right.
Broadway Legend Joined: 5/28/13
"Its only speculation but most of the time Half of the guesses are usually right."
Can you provide proof?
It's an almost exact paraphrase of Paul Rudd's "60% of the time, it works every time" from Anchorman. Only he seems to have actually meant it.
Broadway Legend Joined: 5/28/13
LOL! I know, jnb. Ugh. broadway guy. What ever will we do with you?
You still read those rambling paragraphs?
Anyways, does anyone know If they're singing live for this film or if they're lip synching to prerecord tracks?
Broadway Legend Joined: 8/5/11
Last year most of the hollywood "experts" ( bloggers, critics, reporters) over at Gold derby had most of the oscar line up completed before christmas ( the oscars are in feb) They knew which films the Academy would go far. I can't give you actual "proof" cause once the oscars are over they usually delete all of that and start for next season. The Majority of them were 85 percent right with a couple oddball nominations in there. In fact I have an account on gold derby and they let you pick what you think the nominations will be and the perosn who gets most of them right will get a prize. I didn't win but Most of my guesses were right. After seeing how well SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK did at the film festivals i knew it wouldbe a shooin for A best picture nomination. Les Mis was in my lineup for 3 months before the actual movie came out. Zero dark thirty was also an easy one to bet on because of the source material and the fact that Katherin Bigelow was directing it. It really isn't hard.
The same goes for the TONYS. The minute people heard MATILDA was coming to the states everyone knew it basically had a Tony Nomination in the bag after all the success it got over at the Olivier awards. Some are tricky to figure out but if you know what to look for its really just one fun puzzle.
They'll be lip synching to the OBCR
Broadway Legend Joined: 5/28/13
"You still read those rambling paragraphs?"
Sorry. You're right, JC. I don't even know why I give into temptation and curiosity. If I just ignore it, maybe it will go away.
Great question about the singing. I have to wonder if the low budget will have any impact. From what I have been told, it's much more expensive recording the singing live. So I would guess lip synching but I could be completely and utterly wrong.
Updated On: 6/21/13 at 10:20 AM
From the Daily Mail - It follows the characters over the five years of their marriage.
Not true, but it's the Daily Mail, so close enough
Something about Cathy's wardrobe so far is almost too quirky for my taste, especially in contrast to Jamie's t-shirts and jeans. Maybe they wanted that contrast, to show that they are really different people. Too much diference, and the audience is not as sympathetic and could think, "Well, they shouldn't have gotten married anyhow. They don't mix well."
There was no proof.
Les Mis was predicted early because its a KNOWN QUANTITY. By nearly EVERYONE. The Last Five Years? Known by no one outside of B'way Geeks. (B'way Geeks is a loving term.)
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