Merkin2 said: "Based on talking to several Tony voters and nominations, they are much more pro QoV than what we’ve seen on this board. Kristin is a lock for leading actress, it will win Setand other design categories, and if Lost Boys is a dud, Versailles will win Best Musical"
Well the voters don't nominate anything. Just the very small pool of nominators (which usually numbers around 50 after folks inevitably recuse themselves during the season). So you having a convo with "several" of them (supposedly split between nominators and voters) doesn't really mean much in terms of eventual results. No closed musical has won the Best Musical award since Hallelujah Baby. If you think QoV is winning this year...sorry but there is a close to 0% chance of that happening. I think it can still be nominated for lead actress, scenic design, costume design, and maybe score simply due to lack of competition. But that's the end of the list and it isn't going to win any of those categories.
If Lost Boys is a dud, we still have Two Strangers and Titanique for Best Musical options. Both of which have already done better with critics and audiences than QoV. I think Versailles is firmly in last place among the eligible contenders and the one production I feel totally safe saying it won't be nominated in the top category.