I have seen 'Billy Elliot' twice and both times I absolutely adored it. That being said, I have tickets to '9 to 5' and have been anxiously been awaiting it for over a year. I feel '9 to 5' has best score hands down being 'Billy' really lacks when it comes to score and '9 to 5' has a pretty good one. '9 to 5' also has an amazing set which is constructed of projections and moving scenery so I feel it has that too. As far as choreography, I think 'Billy Elliot' has that. It's soon to tell about best book being I haven't seen '9 to 5'.
Now, there's best new musical. When ever I think of this I think of how 'Avenue Q' beat 'Wicked' and how 'Spring Awakening' beat 'Mary Poppins' and 'Curtains'. While 'Billy Elliot' has all the hype and a touching story which some people can relate to, '9 to 5' has some big names attached both in the Hollywood and Broadway community as well as a catchy score and funny but at the same time serious story which many people can relate to.
Overall, I feel it is way to soon to tell being that very few people, if any have seen both, especially people on this board where so many people are making sure of themselves predictions when they can't give reasons behind them. But, I feel '9 to 5' may take it due to the reasons above.
On another note, I would love to read why 'Billy' has it in the bag, Mr. Roxy.
2008: Feb. 18- Rent, Feb. 19- Curtains, April 18- Xanadu, April 22- Wicked, April 26- Legally Blonde, May 31- Wicked, June 13- The Little Mermaid, June 28- Wicked and Young Frankenstein, July 2- The Little Mermaid, July 6- A Chorus Line and Legally Blonde, August 16- Xanadu, September 13- Legally Blonde and 13, September 28- Xanadu and Spring Awakening, Oct. 12-GYPSY and [title of show], Oct. 19- Hairspray & Legally Blonde, Nov. 9- Wicked and 13, Dec. 14-13, Dec. 26- Billy Elliot, 2009: Jan 1- Shrek, Jan 2- 13 and Wicked, Jan 4- 13, Feb 17- In The Heights, Feb 19- Billy Elliot, Feb 22- Sweeney Todd (tour), March 28- Mary Poppins, April 4- Mamma Mia!, April 15- Jersey Boys (on tour), April 25- next to normal & 9 to 5
May 1- Billy Elliot, May 3- Spelling Bee (tour), May 8- Chicago, May 21- Wicked, June 6- Everyday Rapture, June 23- The Wiz, June 25- Hair July 15- Shrek, August 9- Wicked, September 7- Rock of Ages, October 11- Next To Normal, October 23- The Marvelous Wonderettes, November 7- Ragtime November 29- Dreamgirls, December 25- Billy Elliot, December 30- Finian's Rainbow, 2010: January 9- Bye Bye Birdie, January 16- Memphis February 17- The Phantom of The Opera, February 18- God of Carnage, March 7- Billy Elliot, March 31- American Idiot