American Idiot to close February 27th?

Do you guys think that Billie Joe Armstrong's final performance (2-27-11) Will also be American Idiot's final show?
I have a feeling it will be because honestly people are going now to see "The Billie Joe show" not American Idiot.
Just wondering what everyone else thinks

It wouldn't surprise me. The show was not doing well when he wasn't in it. It did do well around Christmastime though.

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I honestly believe it will hold out until Labor Day.

thing is
It wasn't doing great and they are bringing in Billie Joe to bring it $.
I remember when we came in for that week in October the grosses went WAYY up, but then after he left then went back to the usual BAD numbers

I wonder tho with him leaving at the end of February will his run bring them enough $ for them to sustain till April(ish, May) when it starts to get busier again.

I guess only time will tell
But then I feel like if they were planning to close in February woudln't they announce it by now?

True Jacob
I was actually just thinking to myself
Why don't they find the other 2 guys and call it Green Day Live

Why don't they find the other 2 guys and call it Green Day Live

So true!

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I think it all depends on how they do when Billie is there. If they do really well and reach over 1 million every week then they won't close it but if they don't do as well as they hoped then they may close it.

Updated On: 1/4/11 at 08:53 AM

Where did the $425K weekly nut figure get reported? I am not saying it is wrong, just curious about a source since I had not seen any reports of the show's nut. (They are not easy to find.)

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On a sidebar...I'm still wondering how FINIAN'S RAINBOW, which played to fuller houses and higher grosses than AMERICAN IDIOT, closed after 110 performances while AMERICAN IDIOT, barely breaking 50% and having somewhat low grosses, is continuing to run?

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On a sidebar...I'm still wondering how FINIAN'S RAINBOW, which played to fuller houses and higher grosses than AMERICAN IDIOT, closed after 110 performances while AMERICAN IDIOT, barely breaking 50% and having somewhat low grosses, is continuing to run?

They have the power (and probably the money) of Green Day behind them

plus, if you think about it, these musicals can't be selling out everynight, they have 8 shows a week.. and they really only target one area (unlike a green day concert)

Let's not forget that Billie Joe is more than stunt casting- he is the creator of the show, composer, lyricist and librettist. And far from being a tacky, tawdry move, most critics tend to prefer his take on the role.

Tony Vincent gave a sinister but nuanced performance as St. Jimmy that emphasized the sexual aspect of his symbiotic relationship with Johnny. Bille Joe plays the part pretty literally as Johnny's alter ego/evil twin. I wonder if the lack of apparent "depth" to Billie Joe's portrayal is part of the reason the show is better received with him? That ambiguity in the character was one of the main sticking points a lot of people had with the show, as the duality of the characters is only referenced once in book and once in lyric, plus the symbolic death ceremony near the end.