ErmengardeStopSniveling said: "BETTY22 said: "Kimberly and Some Like It Hot are in trouble.Wonder how much money the producer are willing/able to lose?Do you think winning a TONY would be able to make either a hit?"
Of course nobody knows the answer to that, but we can make educated guesses.
If we assume that SLIH costs somewhere around $650K to run each week, it's in a similar situation as KIMBERLY: it has not lost money since December (after sustaining some losses in previews). That means it's treading water, but it's been well above $700K for the past 9 weeks.A musical that expensive will build a healthy reserve into the capitalization for this purpose. If they waive weekly fees & royalties for creative team and service providers, that weekly running cost will decrease even more.
Tony attention and spring/summer tourism could increase the grosses, but time will tell.
For something like SLIH, even if it never becomes whole on Broadway and doesn't last a full year, the longer it runs in NYC the better positioned it will be to tour (where it could make real money) or play London or Australia or other territories, which will all kick some money back to the mother company. This might not be the hottest title for stock & amateur licensing, since it does have racially-specific characters and some communities will not be able to appropriately cast the show if they don't have a wealth of Black, White, and Latino talent."
I would think SLIH's running cost would be somewhere around 850k. They supposedly took out a priority loan to make it to the Tonys and I think they'll mostly likely win some - I think they have a real shot at Leading Actor, Score, Choreography (unless NY, NY is a surprise), and Orchestrations. Maybe more? I doubt they'll pull off Best Musical, however. I think KA has the edge there.