Princeton2 said: "Worth pointing out that the UK government just announced 60% of people in hospital are double jabbed."
This number is kind of worthless without raw numbers, but think about it this way:
Before the vaccine, 95 out of every 100 hospitalizations was for older folks.
The UK has currently vaccinated 95% of their older population, and the vaccine is 90% effective at preventing hospitalization.
So, some math:
Of those 95 older people that would have been hospitalized, 90 are vaccinated. Of those 90 vaccinated, 81 are protected from hospitalization (81 people is 90% of 90). 9 are vaccinated but still get hospitalized.
For the other 5 hypothetical hospitalized people, those are younger folks whose vaccination rate is closer to 50%, so let's say 2 would now be protected from hospitalization.
So, of the original 100, the breakdown with the vaccine in play is:
- 81 older people who would have been hospitalized, but are protected.
- 2 young people who would have been hospitalized, but are protected.
- 9 older, vaccinated folks hospitalized.
- 5 older, non-vaccinated people hospitalized.
- 3 young, non-vaccinated people hospitalized.
So from the original population, 9 out of 17 (52%) of the hospitalized people are double-jabbed, even though the raw numbers are way down compared to the original group (17 vs. 100).
Anyway, this was a long-winded way of saying based on our understanding of the vaccine's effectiveness, 60% vaccinated in the hospital is not crazy and shouldn't be too shocking.
