witchoftheeast2 said: "If anything it should have a short run on Broadway to see if it has a positive reception there, with extensions built in if it gets good reviews"
I don't understand how that would make any sense. i would assume that he upfront investment for the same quality production to run three months would be the same as to run for years...maybe a little difference re advertising, but the physical production, rehearsal costs, etc., would be the same, wouldn't they?
I have to admit that I am in the camp that doesn't think this would be a slam dunk. Paddington is not part of the culture here the way it is in England. At the projected budget, it needs to do capacity business for a long time (couple of years?) at full prices. It may be my bias, but seeing a musical about the Paddington bear doesn't hit my 'gotta get tickets right away' buttons, great reviews or not.