Broadway Star Joined: 3/29/23
Our final winner predictions in all 27 categories - GoldDerby
https://www.goldderby.com/article/2025/tony-talk-final-winner-predictions-2025/
Broadway Star Joined: 3/29/23
Read the Official Tony Awards 2025 Playbill | Playbill
https://playbill.com/article/read-the-official-tony-awards-2025-playbill
Broadway Star Joined: 3/29/23
13 Great Songs of the Tonys Season
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/06/06/theater/tony-awards-season-musical-songs.html?unlocked_article_code=1.M08.tW_x.tdULp2yhkJbI
Broadway Legend Joined: 8/26/19
BroadwayGirl107 said: "Maybe it's just my demographic but I feel like in the last week or so John Proctor has really taken center stage for Best Play. I know it didn't win and other awards but I don't know if that matters. The Times article about women's emotional response to the show, the amount of celebrities seeing and shouting out the show, and the social media team has genuinely done a great job of painting it as a phenom (funnily enough--it's the same social media person for the show's most direct competitor Oh Mary!). Curious if others feel this or I'm just a millenail woman in a bubble. I didn't feel this before the last week or so!
And with that...is Danya Taymor going to win Best Director again?
Featured Actress in a Play is my favorite category. Damn all of those women just worked magic this season. On vibes alone I want to say Tala Ashe will win."
I'm rooting for John Proctor and Danya Taymor. I was one of these women who was crying so hard at the end of the play, it took me a while to be able to get out if my seat. Although this play is aimed at and about Gen Z, it's universal and each woman can recognize herself in it. My personal experience at this play was profound. I will accept Purpose win, because Branden Jacob-Jenkins can do no wrong in my books and I loved Purpose better than Appropriate. Oh, Mary! just simply doesn't have the weight or impact of JPIV or Purpose. Cole Escola should be recognized for creating this wildly successful phenomenon though. Can't wait for Sunday.
From the list of names on Playbill, it seems like Anthony Ramos isn’t performing with the Hamilton people. Sure, he could be filming something, but it seems more likely that after the breakup between him and Jasmine, both won’t appear together in the near future.
Broadway Star Joined: 3/29/23
Theater is feeling more and more like TV
https://wapo.st/3HJK4jR
Broadway Legend Joined: 4/22/04
''We've seen in the past that when it comes to close races at any awards show, the nominee whose project was the stronger contender usually prevails. I used that logic to successfully predict Tony Shalhoub to win for The Band's Visit despite how open-ended Best Lead Actor in a Musical was in 2018.''
In general, I'd agree. But I don't recall the Best Leading Actor race being that ''open-ended'' in 2018. ''SpongeBob SquarePants'' was such a showcase for Ethan Slater, who was in over 10 of its musical numbers. Slater won Outstanding Actor in a Musical from the Outer Critics Circle AND Drama Desk Awards, plus he picked up a Theatre World Award. He should've been the Tony front-runner.
But Tony Shalhoub won for ''The Band's Visit,'' even though he's really only featured in one number and hardly sings. So it was a shocker to me that he won the Tony. All I can attribute that to is Shalhoub was the popular veteran actor (whereas Slater was a newcomer), and the Tony voters went nearly all in on voting straight-ticket for ''The Band's Visit,'' which won 10 of its 11 Tony nominations.
Broadway Star Joined: 7/12/22
"But Tony Shalhoub won for ''The Band's Visit,'' even though he's really only featured in one number and hardly sings. So it was a shocker to me that he won the Tony. All I can attribute that to is Shalhoub was the popular veteran actor (whereas Slater was a newcomer), and the Tony voters went nearly all in on voting straight-ticket for ''The Band's Visit,'' which won 10 of its 11 Tony nominations. "
I totally agree with you and have a feeling the Tony award voters did not want to give Best Actor award to someone playing a cartoon character. It was such a shame, Slater deserved the Tony award IMO.
gibsons2 said: "BroadwayGirl107 said: "Maybe it's just my demographic but I feel like in the last week or so John Proctor has really taken center stage for Best Play. I know it didn't win and other awards but I don't know if that matters. The Times article about women's emotional response to the show, the amount of celebrities seeing and shouting out the show, and the social media team has genuinely done a great job of painting it as a phenom (funnily enough--it's the same social media person for the show's most direct competitor Oh Mary!). Curious if others feel this or I'm just a millenail woman in a bubble. I didn't feel this before the last week or so!
And with that...is Danya Taymor going to win Best Director again?
Featured Actress in a Play is my favorite category. Damn all of those women just worked magic this season. On vibes alone I want to say Tala Ashe will win."
I'm rooting for John Proctor and Danya Taymor. I was one of these women who was crying so hard at the end of the play, it took me a while to be able to get out if my seat. Although this play is aimed at and about Gen Z, it's universal and each woman can recognize herself in it. My personal experience at this play was profound. I will accept Purpose win, because Branden Jacob-Jenkins can do no wrong in my books and I loved Purpose better than Appropriate.Oh, Mary! just simply doesn't have the weight or impact of JPIV or Purpose. Cole Escola should be recognized for creating this wildly successful phenomenon though. Can't wait for Sunday."
I echo every word of this. I’m in my 40s but absolutely related to every moment in that play as a woman. I am typically way way more of a musical person than a play person (case in point my profile pic I guess) but after seeing almost everything this season, this is the one I can’t stop thinking about. And also can’t stop listening to Green Light, which continues to choke me up as it take me right back to how I felt watching it.
I think the last ~5 seconds is probably my favorite ending to a play or musical ever.
Really rooting for it this Sunday, particularly Danya Taymor as I keep thinking about how impressive the direction was. So many choices for her to make, and all of them were perfect.
But honestly I loved so much this season that I’ll be happy with almost any win in almost every category. Just gonna sit back on Sunday and enjoy the celebration of this amazing season.
A depressing bit of trivia: if John Proctor wins, it will be the first time a play written by a woman will have won Best Play in 16 years- the last being God of Carnage by Yazmina Reza in 2009. And she was the first woman to win it since 1998, when she last won for Art. And before that, it was Wendy Wasserstein… in 1989. 36 years, only two female playwrights have had their work win Best Play, and only one in this century.
Zeppie2022 said: ""But Tony Shalhoub won for ''The Band's Visit,'' even though he's really only featured in one number and hardly sings. So it was a shocker to me that he won the Tony. All I can attribute that to is Shalhoub was the popular veteran actor (whereas Slater was a newcomer), and the Tony voters went nearly all in on voting straight-ticket for ''The Band's Visit,'' which won 10 of its 11 Tony nominations. "
I totally agree with you and have a feeling the Tony award voters did not want to give Best Actor award to someone playing a cartoon character. It was such a shame, Slater deserved the Tony award IMO."
They'll probably award Brian D'Arcy James his first Tony for playing Homer Simpson, just to make up for this.
Kad said: "A depressing bit of trivia: if John Proctor wins, it will be the first time a play written by a woman will have won Best Play in 16years- the last being God of Carnage by Yazmina Reza in 2009. And she was the first woman to win it since 1998, when she last won for Art. And before that, it was Wendy Wasserstein… in 1989. 36 years, only two female playwrights have had their work win Best Play, and only one in this century."
That is depressing and pathetic. For how self-congratulatory this community is, it sure has a lot of opportunity to mature and grow.
Broadway Legend Joined: 4/26/16
If the New York Times’ slightly hedged prediction for Best Actor in a Musical comes true, it would be a remarkable and historic achievement for Jonathan Groff. It already sort of is, as his show is certain to make money for its investors - Tony win or no - and has sold out every performance. I am already regretting not insisting we see Just in Time when I was in town in April - because I knew my family would love it and I figured I would enjoy it well enough as a fan of Groff’s. Now it will be much more expensive assuming I return this fall.
There are sometimes moments in a performer’s career when it seems like they can do no wrong and everyone loves them. This year features some strong performances in the category and Groff, in a quasi-jukebox musical in which he stars as himself and wasn’t even nominated for Best Musical - is going to walk away with it? And everyone is like, ‘That seems fair.’ He can even be close friends with Lea Michele and no one cares.
Groff, of course, is really talented and so likeable that I knew - upon hearing the announcement - that he would be perfect for Frank in Merrily We Roll Along. And I don’t know anything.
My question for the smarter folks is this: When is the last time a Broadway performer been this beloved and such a box office attraction? Groff is known for various films and several TV series, but he’s not that big a star - just sort of a familiar actor. On Broadway right now, he’s magic.
Wayman_Wong said: "''We've seen in the past that when it comes to close races at any awards show, the nominee whose project was the stronger contender usually prevails. I used that logic to successfully predict Tony Shalhoub to win forThe Band's Visitdespite how open-endedBest Lead Actor in a Musical was in 2018.''
In general, I'd agree. But I don't recall the Best Leading Actor race being that ''open-ended'' in 2018. ''SpongeBob SquarePants'' was such a showcase for Ethan Slater, who was in over 10 of its musical numbers. Slater won Outstanding Actor in a Musical from the Outer Critics Circle AND Drama Desk Awards, plus he picked up a Theatre World Award. He should've been the Tony front-runner."
Although Joshua Henry was also considered a factor for Carousel. The New York Times' Tony voter survey that year suggested that it was a toss-up between the three of them.
Time to chime in with my full predictions for the musical categories.
78th Tony Awards Predictions (Musicals)
Leading Actor Joined: 6/18/16
On Tony Awards eve, I am preparing the pitchforks. If Nicole doesn’t win Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Musical, we ride at dawn Monday
Tuesday at Sunset will be great. Can’t wait to go. Nobody what we are here for Nicole
Time to chime in with my full predictions for the play categories.
78th Tony Awards Predictions (Plays)
Broadway Legend Joined: 1/21/20
Musical - Maybe Happy Ending
Musical Revival - Sunset BLVD
Play - Oh, Mary!
Play Revival - Yellow Face
Actress in a musical - Audra McDonald, Gypsy
Actor in a musical - Jeremy Jordan, Floyd Collins
Featured Actor in a musical - Jak Malone, Operation Mincemeat
Featured Actress in a musical - Natalie Venetia Belcon, Buena Vista Social Club
Actress in a play - Sarah Snook, The Picture of Dorian Gray
Actor in a play - Cole Escola, Oh, Mary!
Featured Actor in a play - Conrad Ricamora, Oh, Mary!
Featured Actress in a play - Jessica Hecht, Eureka Day
Music director - Sunset BLVD
Play director - John Proctor is the Villain
Best book of a musical -Operation Mincemeat
Best Original Score - Maybe Happy Ending
Scenic design of a play - Stranger Things: the First Shadow
Scenic design of a musical - Maybe Happy Ending
Costume design of a play - Oh, Mery!
Costume design of a musical - Death Becomes Her
Lighting Design of a play - Stranger Things: the First Shadow
Lighting Design of a musical - Sunset BLVD
Sound design of a play - Stranger Things: the First Shadow
Sound design of a musical - Buena Vista Social Club
Best Choreography - Boop! the Musical
Best Orchestrations - Buena Vista Social Club
Broadway Star Joined: 3/29/23
Test Your Broadway Knowledge, Celebrity Edition
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2025/06/07/theater/tony-awards-broadway-quiz.html?unlocked_article_code=1.NU8.TPq2.uDNrdkY0WlD2
Broadway Legend Joined: 4/22/04
''They'll probably award Brian D'Arcy James his first Tony for playing Homer Simpson, just to make up for this.''
And yet the Tony voters passed up the chance to reward James for playing the title role of ''Shrek'' in 2009, even though he won Outstanding Actor in a Musical that season from the Outer Critics Circle and the Drama Desks. He lost to the boys from ''Billy Elliot,'' who (in my humble opinion) should've never been Tony-eligible as a trio for Leading Actor in a Musical. That ruling went against the Tonys' core belief that you should see all the performances before voting. However, the Tonys made an exception here and ruled that Tony voters only needed to see ONE of the Billys to vote for them. That seems to assume that all of the Billys were equally talented as actors, singers and dancers. (I saw all three; they were not.) But that's rewarding the role, not necessarily the actor. And it's not fair that adult actors who maintain their quality 8 shows a week have to compete with child actors, who do only 2-3 performances.
The Outer Critics Circle honored the 3 ''Billy Elliot'' boys with a Special Award. Which is what the Tonys should've done. And apparently the Tonys learned their lesson in 2013, when they gave a Tony Honor for Excellence in Theatre to the 4 girls in ''Matilda,'' rather than making them collectively eligible for Leading Actress in a Musical.
Alas, too late for James. He's one of Broadway's greatest leading men, who, after 5 nominations, remains Tony-less. In MY alternate universe, he would've never taken the role in ''Shrek'' and stuck with ''Next to Normal,'' a role he originated Off-Broadway. Then, he would've been Tony-eligible for Dan, and won (if the ''Billy'' boys weren't Tony-eligible).
Was anyone at this morning's dress rehearsal? Who's doing what?
Understudy Joined: 3/12/14
Based off of social posts, looks like DBH is doing “For The Gaze.”
My final predictions:
Musical: Maybe Happy Ending
Play: Oh Mary!
Musical Revival: Sunset Blvd.
Play Revival: Yellow Face
Actress in a Musical: Audra McDonald, Gypsy
Actor in a Musical: Jonathan Groff, Just in Time
Featured Actress in a Musical: Natalie Venetia Belcon, Buena Vista Social Club
Featured Actor in a Musical: Jak Malone, Operation Mincemeat
Direction of a Musical: Jamie Lloyd, Sunset Blvd.
Original Score: Maybe Happy Ending
Book of a Musical: Maybe Happy Ending
Choreography: Buena Vista Social Club
Scenic Design of a Musical: Maybe Happy Ending
Costume Design of a Musical: Death Becomes Her
Lighting Design of a Musical: Sunset Blvd.
Sound Design of a Musical: Sunset Blvd.
Orchestrations: Buena Vista Social Club
Lead Actor in a Play: Cole Escola, Oh Mary!
Lead Actress in a Play: Sarah Snook, The Picture of Dorian Gray
Featured Actor in a Play: Conrad Ricamora, Oh Mary!
Featured Actress in a Play: Fina Straza, John Proctor is the Villain
Direction of a Play: Sam Pinkleton, Oh Mary!
Scenic Design of a Play: Stranger Things: The First Shadow
Costume Design of a Play: The Picture of Dorian Gray
Lighting Design of a Play: Stranger Things: The First Shadow
Sound Design of a Play: Stranger Things: The First Shadow
Broadway Legend Joined: 3/24/14
Mr. Wormwood said: "My final predictions:
Featured Actress in a Play:Fina Straza,John Proctor is the Villain"
I was thinking yesterday, how many under 20 actos have won the Tonys? I remember Daisy, the Billys and the boy from Mame.
Anyone else?
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