In terms of financial status, I'm sure that almost any new musical will flop in the foreseeable future. In terms of quality shows, the 2024 season is going to be a hit. The Notebook was hit with near universal praise. Lempicka was, as well. Harmony's were strong, especially with a NYT Critic's Pick, and I think the score is beautiful and hope the show has reworked a little more. Here Lies Love got great mostly reviews, How to Dance in Ohio is also pretty strong, like Kimberly Akimbo. Water for Elephants, Back to the Future, and The Outsiders are just plain mediocre, neither of them bad (unlike Bad Cindy, Almost Famous, KPOP, and NYNY). As much as I enjoyed it, Once Upon a One More Time was definitely a mess and the weakest link in terms of new musicals this season. All of these shows are in a fairly good shape before their Broadway bows. Awards season will be tough. I think Here Lies Love and and Once Upon a One More Time will be forgotten except for the design categories and choreography, respectively.
I think Best Musical looks like this right now:
Best Musical:
The Notebook
Harmony
How to Dance In Ohio (should it close before awards and be forgotten, I could see Here Lies Love somehow making it here, or even Water for Elephants)
Lempicka
The Outsiders (could also see Here Lies Love or Water for Elephants making it here if How to Dance in Ohio is still open)
Updated On: 9/12/23 at 06:21 PM