Who's taking Leading Actress in a Musical this year?

I think it's Levy's to take with a very slim chance of a Marla upset. Everybody else has the nomination as their reward.

As certain as it can be with these things that this is Caissie's. I just hope she honors the late, great Marin Mazzie in her acceptance.

While I personally do not think it's a performance that really works, I don't know how it's not Levy.

BroadwayGirl107 said: "I honestly think the only thing that could kill Caissie’s chance of winning is the murmurs that Next to Normal is planning to transfer and the thought that Diana is a showier role and she’d likely win next year.


"

They're keeping this super tight to their chest if it's actually happening. All the people who tend to know about things have heard nothing about this coming back (in my experience). Without an actual announcement or any solid intel, I doubt any voters will be thinking about this.

Levy

I personally would prefer Christiana Pitts or Marla Mindelle. I did not care for Cassie Levy's performance. As a Ragtime fan, I felt Cassie played Mother too "new age" from the beginning, and it made it hard for me to believe she actually changed her views after Our Children and Back to Before. In my opinion, Mother is meant to be played obedient at the beginning, and she comes to the realization through the show but specifically Our Children and Back to before that she can lead a life of her own and not simply be known as Father's wife/Mother. I felt Cassie was slightly defiant from the very beginning, making it hard for me to see a real change Mother's character. Though I must admit... she sang the songs beautifully.

I think this is Levy’s to lose and it’s not even close.

I personally think her performance is great, very ground, such a beautiful presence and her barefoot ‘’Back to Before’’ brought me to tears.

I would rank:

1. Caissie Levy, Ragtime

2. Marla Mindelle, Titanique

3. Stephanie Hsu, The Rocky Horror Show

4. Sara Chase, Schmigadoon!

5. Christiani Pitts, Two Strangers

Overall, I liked this category very Much, not a dull performance to me at all.

It will be Levy and I think a well deserved win.

Mindelle is probably the only person who has a chance to pull off an upset. Especially since it looks less and less likely that Titanique will be able to win Book, so some voters who are fans may reward her here. But I still think Ragtime is just so popular and Levy is singing the hell out of the score. It feels like an easy call for Mother.

MayAudraBlessYou2 said: "Itwill be Levy and I think a well deserved win.

Mindelle is probably the only person who has a chance to pull off an upset. Especially since it looks less and less likely that Titanique will be able to win Book, so some voters who are fans may reward her here. But I still think Ragtime is just so popular and Levy is singing the hell out of the score. It feels like an easy call for Mother."

Levy is also a veteran of stage.

She has opened productions of Hair, Les Mis, Frozen, Caroline or Change, Leopoldstadt, Ghost and was in Wicked and Hairspray. It's also a carreer win even if it's only a slight part of this win.

This is why I previously mentioned chalamet. Just because someone seems like the right person right show to win right now doesn't make it certain.

Levy feels like a very safe lock at this point. However, I wouldn't completely rule out the possibility that either Cristiana Pitts or Sara Chase ride a huge surprising Tony wave of support for their shows (not saying that will happen with either of their shows, but think of how when Band's Visit surprised with 10 wins and swept up Ariel Stachel with it, or Once surprising with 8 and Steve Kazee surprisingly being a part of that). Again, smart money clearly on Levy, but I could envision a big upset like this.

I hate this way of viewing these things, but knowing how revered she is in the industry, it's Levy's "turn" while it may not be the runaway best performance.

Count me among those quietly holding a sliver of space for a Marla upset.