ACL2006 said: "Chip27 said: "I guess hoping for either Boop or Smash will win Tony Award for Best Musical has become hopeless.🥺"
Both are just commercial vehicles looking to cash in a their name. I wouldn't expect much in terms of Tony nominations from either."
I wouldn't be so quick to rule out Boop. On first glance, yes, it seems like a commercial vehicle without much promise, but with Bob Martin and Jerry Mitchell involved, both who are very beloved in the NY theatre community, and the general consensus from folks seeing it out of town as "it's far better than you'd think", I could definitely see it becoming a factor. Not that I'm predicting it to win right now or even think that it ultimately will, but I think it will be a contender.
Also of note is that we now have 3 smallish or more niche musicals (Outlaw, Happy Ending, Mincemeat) in the race. And while yes, the Tonys have gone for that style of show in recent years, having 3 of them, each of whom have their own group of ardent supporters, could easily end with them all cancelling each other out and result in one of the bigger, flashier musicals taking it this year.