Is this surprising? Yes, and no.
For me, Toronto is an interesting city for sit down productions. The Producers flopped here, and the rumour always was that Toronto should have had a sit down of Wicked.
There is a debate that I have mentioned a few times before about Garth Drabinsky in the 1980/1990's of having the national tour of Phantom not play cities close to Toronto, (Buffalo, Detroit, Cleveland, etc.), and force people who really wanted to see the smash musical, had to come to Toronto if they wanted something close. Marketing like this, may help. Buffalo just had the tour of DEH come through, lost Americans crossing the boarder, and the exchange rate between the two countries works in favour of the US right now. BUT, this is a shoulda, coulda, woulda situation.
Personally, watching the Tony's, and hearing all the hype about the show made it fizzle for me (that and Evan looks 34 years old). I'm surprised the teen-20's aren't eating this up is weird to me. But, this one has to hurt Mr. Mirvish. He moved a sold out show to a new theatre that he doesn't own, where he made fake walls to make the theatre more intimate. This one has to hurt a bit more than some others.
I hope we still continue to get Canadian productions of shows. But, maybe the 6 month tour stop for these huge shows might be better.