Stand-by Joined: 2/21/14
I enjoyed Zachary Levi in First Date, but, IMHO, in this hyper-competitive year, there is no way he will get a nom for that performance.
If Big Fish was still playing, I would bet Norbert LB would be the person to beat. Unfortunately, a la Scandalous, I don't think he will win
Featured Actor Joined: 5/2/13
I'd go with:
Jefferson Mays
Steven Pasquale
Andy Karl
Ramin Karimloo
NPH
I would have thought Ramin would have been a for sure for a nomination before “Les Mis” started previews on Broadway (based off of the hype of his performance from the tour), but it seems many (on here, at least) were underwhelmed by him. I am thinking he might be off the list.
I have a feeling Pasquale will score a nomination, however.
Sincerely hoping Norbert will be nominated. That performance was a tour-de-force and one I will never forget having seen. He deserves a Tony for it.
I suppose my guesses are:
Neil Patrick Harris
Andy Karl
Norbert Leo Butz
Jefferson Mays
Steven Pasquale
I also have an odd feeling “Bullets Over Broadway” is going to be one of those shows that earns nominations in every category and could see Zach Braff getting a nom.
I would be a little surprised to see the two Gentleman's Guide actors competing against each other, but Bryce Pinkham IS starring in a show that got much better reviews than either Big Fish and Rocky. I wouldn't count him out at this point.
My predictions:
.Neil Patrick Harris
.Jefferson Mays
.Andy Karl
.Zachary Levi
.Norbert Leo Butz
"I would have thought Ramin would have been a for sure for a nomination before “Les Mis” started previews on Broadway (based off of the hype of his performance from the tour), but it seems many (on here, at least) were underwhelmed by him. I am thinking he might be off the list."
Have you seen the reviews? The critics were so impressed by his performance!
Broadway Legend Joined: 7/29/08
Have you seen the reviews? The critics were so impressed by his performance!
The critics, yes, but, as we know, critical reviews often do not reflect the Tony nominators’ opinions. Reading the “Les Mis” preview thread, there were many who were saying they were underwhelmed by him. Before beginning previews, I feel like there was so much hype for his performance, but once performances started, I sensed a diminishing excitement surrounding it. Wouldn’t be surprised if he still got a nomination though, even just by virtue of the monster of a role he is in.
Broadway Legend Joined: 12/2/10
I don't really get the distinction between lead and supporting actors/actresses. It seems like it should be obvious (and sometimes it is) but more often than you would think... it's not. A lot of the time the category is simply subjective.
In Aladdin...the genie James Iglehart takes the 2nd to the last bow..after Courtney Reed "Jasmine" and she would certainly be up for lead if nominated (not going to happen...just as an example). But he winds up supporting. Don't get it.
Does it change based on the show? I mean if there is an obvious lead actor, then the next one is supporting? Are there actual rules about this? Or is it really the whim of the producers?
Inquiring minds want to know..
Broadway Legend Joined: 7/29/08
Whim of producers. Norbert won Leading Actor in Catch Me for his supporting role.
"Reading the “Les Mis” preview thread, there were many who were saying they were underwhelmed by him."
The Tony Nominators don't make decisions from previews, they make them from the opening night performance.
The critics, yes, but, as we know, critical reviews often do not reflect the Tony nominators’ opinions.
You mean, they often (if not always) do?
If there is a tony award for best abs Ramin will of course be nominated.
Stand-by Joined: 2/21/14
"My predictions:
.Neil Patrick Harris
.Jefferson Mays
.Andy Karl
.Zachary Levi
.Norbert Leo Butz"
So Zachary Levi will get a nom but Ramin Karimloo won't? I don't follow that logic at all . . .
The Tony Nominators don't make decisions from previews, they make them from the opening night performance.
He’s been playing Valjean since being on the tour. I assume his performance throughout previews is fairly reflective of the performance Tony nominators will see. Please know that I am simply speculating based off of my impression of the hype surrounding his performance – I have no stake in whether or not he gets nominated and could very easily be wrong. Just guessing here.
Regarding the leading/featuring roles - I think it often comes down more to who the central characters are, as opposed to stage time, necessarily.
You mean, they often (if not always) do?
I mean that shows that critics love do not always get love from the Tony nominators and vice versa.
I also have an odd feeling “Bullets Over Broadway” is going to be one of those shows that earns nominations in every category and could see Zach Braff getting a nom
Can't see him the getting a nomination in the category with the others mentioned here.
I mean that shows that critics love do not always get love from the Tony nominators and vice versa.
No, love. Most Tony nominees got praise and love by the critics. Those who get nominated without much love from the critics are the exception.
Can't see him the getting a nomination in the category with the others mentioned here.
Actually, it is common to see a nomination that no one expected. I wouldn't count anyone out quite yet unless their performance was dreadful. And that is not the case here.
Broadway Legend Joined: 5/11/04
I have a sad, sinking feeling that Harris is pre-anointed to win as long as he's not terrible, which would be a travesty. I know, HEDWIG hasn't yet begun, but here's my wish list for nominees, based soley on merit and not on past awards show hostings: Steven Pasaquale, Jefferson Mays, Norbert Leo Butz, Bryce Pinkham and Zachary Levi -- in order of preference. Like that list will ever happen.
Broadway Legend Joined: 7/29/08
I think you need to look up the definition of travesty.
Yeah, wow.
I think Norbert is out-of-sight, out-of-mind, as his show was generally poorly-received and even though his performance was praised it wasn't to the extent Levi was praised as the brighest spot of the otherwise slight FIRST DATE. Combined that it's his debut, and I could see Levi snagging the Rob McClure memorial you-closed-but-we-loved-your-performance nomination honor.
But for that to happen I'd have to expect a few remaining performances yet to open to get panned to make room.
Broadway Star Joined: 11/15/07
Why would you want Pinkham and Mays facing off? They should try and get one in as featured, no?
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