Looking a bit more closely at the statement from 14/15 (when Hamilton was produced), a couple interesting things I see (also I'm tired so feel free to scrutinise or correct mistakes - I don't want to pretend to be an expert). There are likely mistakes in the below and it's just for fun so do look critically.
1. They actually had higher $$$ from ticket sales then than they do now, and that was 10 years ago (eek). Although obviously Hamilton probably played a big part in that. If you look at the 13/14 'previous year' column though it was STILL just slightly above 21/22, and of course if you consider inflation the difference is even more striking.
2. Their expenses were about half in 14/15 compared to 21/22 (30 million vs 60 million). Eek.
3. The proportion of revenue gained from ticket sales* has declined quite a bit - 25% in 14/15 revenue was from ticket sales but only about 12% in 21/22. That can't be a good thing because it means they probably need to be trying harder and harder to get more from elsewhere (i.e. donations & grants).
* While I say 'ticket sales' 20% of this in 14/15 technically also includes something called 'Co-Production Fees, Enhancement..' which I'm guessing is money that commercial producers might also put up to help mount some of these shows (e.g. Hamilton). So actually ticket sales are even slightly less a % of revenue than I am suggesting (someone could recalculate this)
4. An obvious point from above (and I know it's common knowledge) but it does not appear that there is a commercially sustainable model of launching these shows off-broadway. In the season of Hamilton, For every $1 you spent on a ticket for their 'Downtown Theatre' season, the theatre is spending $2.25 to give you these shows. In my opinion, it highlights that especially for these off-broadway NFP theatres we should have a mindset that a ticket sale is more like a contribution to the arts rather than an entitled commercial exchange as if you're actually doing much to pay for what you are seeing on stage (cf. Commercial Broadway). Your ticket is just a drop in the bucket.
5. Even though the ticket may be a drop in the bucket, obviously I would double down on a claim I have made before which is NFP does not mean "for loss" either. Particularly when things were a bit more economically sustainable in 14/15, you can easily see a string of NFP show programming flops could still be a problem if they can't make up the losses from other revenue sources, such as donations or royalties. These companies need to be fiscally responsible and can't just mount productions that flop all the time unless they are already planning for it and know how to get the losses from elsewhere.
6. I'm guessing Hamilton REALLY has helped this theatre a lot. In 14/15 they received just $300,000 of revenue from royalties, whereas in 21/22 it's $17 million! This does probably highlight the importance of Hamilton and other shows (I assume mainly Hamilton) providing them from long-term royalties. If they didn't have Hamilton right now, I'm guessing the theatre could be on the edge of collapse or actually collapse (if it isn't already). That said, given this revenue stream they probably also have been able to make more investment and risky decisions into their programming than they did before Hamilton. I don't know if that's true or not because I don't really follow their programming, though if someone is a regular theatre goer there I'm curious to see if you feel a strong difference in what you see now/over the years vs Pre-Hamilton
7. I'm not sure I understand why, but 'occupancy' expenses have risen dramatically from 14/15 to 21/22. From $600k to $4.8 million in 21/22. Can anyone explain this?
8. They seem to pay quite a bit just in travel expenses $2.4 million in 21/22 (and $1.2 million in 14/15). Not sure exactly what this might be for (e.g. flying creatives around for meetings, meeting with donors etc.?). To save money and the environment, can this be reduced?
9. They have written-off assets a lot more in 21/22 ($2.2 million) vs $800k in 14/15. Not sure what this is for, but this means their expenses are not just because costs are increasing but subtly because the value of things they own is decreasing too. Which is often hard to control.
10. Insurance is not as big as an expense as I would have thought - just $137k in 14/15 although now $400k in 21/22
11. In 13/14 they had about $12 million in public stocks etc. whereas in 21/22 this figure is almost $45 million!! With the economy as it is, could this be setting themselves up for more financial risk in the future if they don't get returns on this or even make significant losses?
12. The price of real estate must be increasing quite a lot. In 14/15 The land and buildings were valued at $18 million whereas they're now at $41 million.
13. There are details of what incentives The Public might have provided to people who provide grants, including "First Class or charter travel" (wonder if this is the travel expenses)
14. It looks like they are paying the Artistic Director handsomely (Paul J Eustis). In 14/15 he had a base salary of about $300k (which was very similar to the Executive Director), whereas in 21/22 it's almost $900k and substantially above the Executive Director now and all other executives. While this seems like a lot of money it could be fair if Paul is the person that, for example, is responsible for Hamilton and any other artistic successes that have helped the Public get to where it is today. Because without Hamilton, the public might be in serious trouble.
WHAT I WOULD DO TO SAVE THIS BUSINESS AS AN ARMCHAIR CEO WITH NO INSIDER CONTEXT LOL (and probably obvious points especially to them who are literally doing this, the challenge is really the execution not the goals I'm guessing):
Revenue
1. Double down on finding programming that is likely to have commercial success outside The Public in future so they can collect Royalties, like Hamilton. The Alicia Keys musical could be a promising example of this.
2. Be careful about big bet investments in this economy and where you have invested your money...I hope whoever is making these decisions know what they're doing so you don't cause more problems.
3. Keep doing what you are doing and double down on the focus of grants and donations, because it's clearly your most important source of income. I'm guessing this is a very hard job especially if they try to control the programming, which might effect your ability to achieve the goals in 1.
Costs
1. Making the right decisions to reduce the workforce if it can be done sustainably because clearly salaries are one of your biggest expenses and easy to control. Perhaps continue to find ways to do this
2. Your 'other expenses' have increased from 14/15 to 21/22 from $12.8 million to $25 million. That is a lot. Can you find ways to reduce expenses in the below categories?
- I must admit, optically it looks a bit weird that 'management' in 14/15 was $170k and now it's $2 million. I assume there is more complexity here than meets the eye though.
- Your IT costs were $200k in 13/14 now $1 million in 21/22. Not sure what this includes and maybe you're getting much more value from your technology now than in 14/15 that will show up in reduced costs elsewhere or new revenue, but it feels like a large increase. You are a small company not a multinational corporation. Did someone convince you to migrate to Cloud services and you're footing the bill? Get people to scrutinise these costs. It's common for organisations to migrate to the cloud without good financial management
- No idea what's going on with those occupancy costs. Again I'm sure meets the eye but it's a striking difference
- Encourage people not to travel unless absolutely necessary both for cost and environmental reasons
- Overall, I can see that there is no one easy answer to reduce your costs. It needs to be an organisation-wide to find small savings in every corner that will add up.
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I don't look at these statements and think in any way the company is being poorly run and everything is a lot harder than someone looking at a public statement and trying to find opportunities, but for the sake of NYC arts we need you!
Give me claws and a hunch, just away from this bunch.
Updated On: 7/15/23 at 06:38 AM