Very Early 2026 Tony Winner Predictions- Page 6

[Sutton Ross]

Very Early 2026 Tony Winner Predictions#125

Posted: 5/12/26 at 1:44pm

It's a brilliant show and it will absolutely win in more than one category. 

[ChiDoc]

Very Early 2026 Tony Winner Predictions#126

Posted: 5/12/26 at 1:51pm

Gold Derby is very good at the Oscars and Emmys, but their Tony odds have always felt much more vibes-based to me.  Doesn't mean they're inaccurate, but I put much less stock there.

[malcs98]

Very Early 2026 Tony Winner Predictions#127

Posted: 5/12/26 at 1:58pm

ChiDoc said: "Gold Derby is very good at the Oscars and Emmys, but their Tony odds have always felt much more vibes-based to me. Doesn't mean they're inaccurate, but I put much less stock there."

Actually I think they’re very good at Tony’s too…it’s all industry-backed just like the Oscars and Emmys 

[ChiDoc]

Very Early 2026 Tony Winner Predictions#128

Posted: 5/12/26 at 2:21pm

malcs98 said: "Actually I think they’re very good at Tony’s too…it’s all industry-backed just like the Oscars and Emmys"

Perhaps I more mean that the "Expert" prognosticators are less accurate.  But keep in mind, all of this is anecdotal more than statistics-based.  So I could be completely wrong!

[BroadwayGirl107]

Very Early 2026 Tony Winner Predictions#129

Posted: 5/12/26 at 2:49pm

EDSOSLO858 said: "Best play will not be the only category that LIBERATION wins. It could also very well win costume design, and/or even pull off a direction shocker over Mantello."


I know it’s unlikely but I would be perfectly happy if Liberation swept and took home every awards it’s up for. I think it’s worthy of all of those wins. 

[MadsonMelo]

Very Early 2026 Tony Winner Predictions#130

Posted: 5/12/26 at 3:31pm

I also think LIBERATION takes more than Play, I'm more towards Flood than White, but Manville seems too strong.

And as the days goes by, I think Abbott has a bigger chance than most give credit.