What do you guys think will be the nxt broadways longest running show? — Page 2

I agree with what the poster above me said. I was just wondering with webber being known to close shows even if they are still doing well a la cats and starlight. What do you think the chances of this happining with POTO? I mean a friend of mine and I agreed that a show like Cats could easilly have played a good few years more if they hadn't decided to close it when they did.

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I think we all know it will Pirate Queen

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RENT will probably never be the longest running. The movie helped spike its business, but it's hit some pretty huge lows over the years. I'll bet it's only a going to be running a couple more years -- has a LONG way to go to catch up to Phantom and Phantom has to close for any other show to have a chance of overtaking it. Even Wicked (which is doing bang-up business internationally) could lose steam quickly. While it's not tied to particular stars (e.g. Broderick/Lane in Producers), it is in the "American Idol" musical style. If that style goes completely out, you could see the %'s drop very quickly. Wicked has already seen scattered weeks where it wasn't sold out. That's MUCH earlier than Phantom experienced unsold seats(I believe).

EDIT: I think it will be difficult if not impossible for any show to surpass Phantom as longest running.

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Updated On: 3/13/07 at 10:27 AM

I think Phantom has another 5 good years, maybe more. I have a feeling Wicked will surpass it in years to come, unless the Wicked craze dies down.

Although Wicked has a big teen fanbase, I've seen a lot of teens my age at the Majestic when I saw the show 3 times last year. I think the movie brought them out.

Les Miserables should never have closed and should be the longest running show not only in London but on Broadway too. Rent is a very good show. The Lion King is also, just the production values are amazing.

I don't see Rent passing POTO. It would have to play 9 years after POTO closed. If the appeal of the tour shows in Detroit are any indication, the last POTO show I saw was sold out and Rent was about 50%. They might start sing about the beginning of the millenium and not the end.

Foster, you must be really quite desperate if you comb the searches for things already discussed. I think it's so strange that you ALWAYS seem to think that you are justified in going around telling people that what they're talking about was already discussed. PLEASE.

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Should Webber choose to leave it be, Phantom's got another ten years at least. And as for Rent, well, who knows. But these are the shows I don't see closing anytime soon:

Phantom
Hairspray
Wicked
Mary Poppins
The Lion King
Jersey Boys
Chicago
Les Miz
Xanadu
Spring Awakening
Rent

But the trouble is that all these shows are in direct competition with eachother, I.E. Rent and Spring Awakening, so somebody has to cave sometime.

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I believe Phantom and Rent aren't going ANYWHERE for a while. Wicked is hopefully and in my opinion going to be around for YEARS to come. Mamma Mia is also pretty strong, as well as The Lion King... some other shows are still bringing in lots of money and will be around for some more years...but anything can happen on Broadway.

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