2024 Tony Awards — Page 4

broadwayfan_7214 said: "These are my predictions for the big 10 categories

Best Musical

• Hell's Kitchen
• Lempicka
• Suffs
• The Notebook
• The Outsiders

Best Play

• Appropriate
• Mary Jane
• Patriots
• Prayer for the French Republic
• Stereophonic

Best Musical Revival

• Cabaret
• Merrily We Roll Along
• The Who's Tommy
• The Wiz

Best Play Revival

• An Enemy of the People
• Doubt
• Purlie Victorious
• Uncle Vanya

Best Musical Actor

• Eddie Redmayne - Cabaret
• Brian d'Arcy James -Days of Wine and Roses
• Chip Zien -Harmony
• Jonathan Groff -Merrily We Roll Along
• Ali Louis Bourzgui -The Who's Tommy

Best Play Actor

• Jeremy Strong -An Enemy of the People
• Liev Schreiber -Doubt
• Michael Stuhlberh -Patriots
• Leslie Odom Jr -Purlie Victorious
• SteveCarrell -Uncle Vanya

Best Musical Actress

• Gayle Rankin -Cabaret
• Kelli O'Hara -Days of Wine and Roses
• Maleah Joi Moon -Hell's Kitchen
• Eden Espinosa -Lempicka
• Nichelle Lewis-The Wiz

Best Play Actress

• Sarah Paulson - Appropriate
• Tyne Daly -Doubt
• Rachel McAdams - Mary Jane
• Jessica Lange -Mother Play
• Betsy Aidem -Prayer for the French Republic

Best Supporting Musical Actor

• Steven Skybell -Cabaret
• Conrad Ricamora -Here Lies Love
• Liam Pearce -How to Dance in Ohio
• Daniel Radcliffe -Merrily We Roll Along
• Paul Alexander Nolan -Water for Elephants

Best Supporting Play Actor

• Michael Imperioli -An Enemy of the People
• Corey Stoll -Appropriate
• Will Keen -Patriots
• Billy Eugene Jones -Purlie Victorious
• William Jackson Harper -Uncle Vanya

Best Supporting Musical Actress

• Bebe Neuwirth -Cabaret
• Shoshana Bean -Hell's Kitchen
• Lindsay Mendez -Merrily We Roll Along
• Leslie Rodriguez Kritzer -Monty Python's Spamalot
• Grace McLean -Suffs

Best Supporting Play Actress

• Francis Benhamou -Prayer for the French Republic
• Kara Young -Purlie Victorious
• Sarah Pidgeon -Stereophonic
• Dana Steingold -The Cottage
• Alison Pill -Uncle Vanya

Thoughts???

"



I desperately want Chip to get a nomination, but most people on here have been saying that his name technically isn't above the title, so he probably isn't eligible

That being said, there's been some weird stuff with eligibility in the Tony Awards before, but it's somehow more likely he'll get a featured nomination

Your Best Musical nominations seem fair to me, though I feel like just on the name and the financial success, Back to the Future could get a nomination

Also I don't know why but I have a suspicion that Katie Rose Clarke is going to get a Featured Actress Nomination alongside Lindsay Mendez

I know two nominations in the Featured Actress category sounds really weird but for some reason I find it likely

That's all I really have to say, maybe some different nominations could sub in or out here and there but nothing else I feel obligated to state

Broadway Flash said: "Water for elephants could be a sleeper hit. We’ll see what happens with Great Gatsby. I think those two could be sleeper hits."

You could be right, but they have pretty darn late opening dates

I hope Jeremy and Eva get nominations, at least

BeingAlive44Ever said: "broadwayfan_7214 said: "


Also I don't know why but I have a suspicion thatKatie Rose Clarke is going to get a Featured Actress Nomination alongside Lindsay Mendez"

I was thinking Krystal Joy Brown...ugh Merrily has such a treasure trove of performances

Hey folks! I figured it could be helpful to have some confirmed/expected placement lists (for musicals) in one place on this thread!

ELIGIBLE FOR BEST MUSICAL (open by 04/25/24)

5 NOMINEES (possibly 6 or 7, if tied)

• Back to the Future
• Days of Wine and Roses
• Harmony
• Hell's Kitchen
• Here Lies Love
• How to Dance in Ohio
• Lempicka
• Once Upon a One More Time
• Suffs
• The Great Gatsby
• The Heart of Rock and Roll
• The Notebook
• The Outsiders
• Water for Elephants

ELIGIBLE FOR BEST REVIVAL (MUSICAL) (open by 04/25/24)

4 NOMINEES (possibly 5 or 6, if tied)

• Cabaret
• Gutenberg!
• Merrily We Roll Along
• Monty Python's Spamalot
• The Who's Tommy
• The Wiz

ELIGIBLE FOR LEADING ACTOR (MUSICAL) -- 5 NOMINEES (possibly 6 or 7, if tied)

Confirmed (as of 11/30/23)

• Josh Gad, Gutenberg!
• Jonathan Groff, Merrily We Roll Along
• Justin Guarini, Once Upon a One More Time
• Casey Likes, Back to the Future
• Andrew Rannells, Gutenberg!

Expected, pending Tonys Admin Comm. Confirmation

• Corey Cott, The Heart of Rock and Roll
• Brian D'Arcy James, Days of Wine and Roses
• Grant Gustin, Water for Elephants
• James Monroe Iglehart, Monty Python's Spamalot
• Jeremy Jordan, The Great Gatsby
• Eddie Redmayne, Cabaret

Questions

• Ali Louis Bourzgui, The Who's Tommy -- This seems like a leading role to me, but Michael Cerveris was nominated in Featured Actor for playing the same role in 1993. Bourzgui is likely to be billed below the title, so it's up to producers where they think he'd have the best chance at a nomination and/or win.
• The Notebook -- I don't know the show well enough to say if maybe Ryan Vasquez, Dorian Harewood, or John Cardoza are petitioned for Lead or if they all stay in Featured, as they're likely to be billed below the title.
• The Outsiders -- I don't know the show well enough to predict, but I'm familiar with the novel and film...seems like there's a case for keeping all the boys in Featured or moving Brody Grant to Lead. Could go either way.
• How to Dance in Ohio -- I'd say this is a true ensemble piece, but I could see a case for petitioning Caesar Samayoa and/or Liam Pearce to Lead in an unlikely bet to get a nomination in this category.

ELIGIBLE FOR LEADING ACTRESS (MUSICAL) -- 5 NOMINEES (possibly 6 or 7, if tied)

Confirmed (as of 11/30/23)

• Briga Heelan, Once Upon a One More Time
• Arielle Jacobs, Here Lies Love

Expected, pending Tonys Admin Comm. Confirmation

• Eden Espinosa, Lempicka
• McKenzie Kurtz, The Heart of Rock and Roll
• Nichelle Lewis, The Wiz
• Isabelle McCalla, Water for Elephants
• Maleah Joi Moon, Hell's Kitchen
• Eva Noblezada, The Great Gatsby
• Kelli O'Hara, Days of Wine and Roses
• Gayle Rankin, Cabaret

Questions

• The Notebook -- Again, hard to say if Joy Woods, Maryann Plunkett, or Jordan Tyson move to Lead...from what I've heard about the show, the strongest case for Lead Actress here is Joy Woods.
• Suffs -- I don't know the show super well, but from what I gather, it is mostly an ensemble piece. I did notice that Alice Paul (Shaina Taub's role) has a standby, so perhaps that could be significant. Folks who were familiar with it off-Broadway could shed some light on this.

Hope it's helpful to see it in this way! Also, the competition will be FIERCE for these...good luck to us all...

chrishuyen said: "Thanks for putting this together! Shaina Taub would definitely be petitioned for lead in Suffs."



I think there is zero chance of that happening. SUFFS is truly am ensemble show -- all will be in featured actress.

According to BWW, the Tony committee met last week and deemed Appropriate as a revival. But where is the official statement about it?

https://www.broadwayworld.com/article/APPROPRIATE-is-a-Revival-Tonys-Seek-New-Spokesperson-and-Shabbat-Comes-to-Broadway-20240129

ErmengardeStopSniveling said: "Makes sense to me to consider Appropriate a Revival."

Agreed. I think a lot of folks get too caught up in "how long since the original run" and "how often has this been performed regionally" instead of "is this a new production or the same?" As the article mentioned, Between Riverside and Crazy was in essence the exact same production that ran off Broadway, so it makes sense to call it a new play. Meanwhile, Appropriate and Gutenberg are brand new productions, so it makes sense to call them revivals.

I agree that Appropriate should be considered a revival. IMO, if it's has been more than say, five years since the Off-Broadway production of a show, and especially if it's a different director and cast, then it's a revival. That said, Between Riverside and Crazy should have also been considered a revival, and the categorization of Here Lies Love as a new musical is both incorrect and inconsistent with the Appropriate ruling. The Tony committee needs to come up with more specific rules about this.

The inconsistency of the awards is striking. For examplel, in 1986 The House of Blue Leaves and The Blood Knot were both nominated for Best New Play, when they both had been seen in prominent runs off-Broadway in 1971 and 1964. There was controversy about the consideration of "Leaves" and "Blood Knot" in that category...both wonderful plays. The other two nominees that year were "Benefactors" and "I'm Not Rappaport" and the latter was awarded the Tony.

I now think the nominees for Outstanding Revival of a Play will be:

Appropriate

Doubt

An Enemy of the People

Uncle Vanya.

and there is little Doubt that Appropriate will be the recipient.

Boy, I hope the Tony nominators don't suffer from short-term memory. ''Here Lies Love'' closed way too soon. This season is so competitive and crowded, but I wish it's remembered for Best Musical, Direction, Score, Arielle Jacobs, Jose Llana, Conrad Ricamora and all its design elements: scenery, costumes, lighting, sound. I know it's hoping for too much, but that's where my ''Love'' lies.

Hmmm. Wonder what this means for MARY JANE as well. Produced first at YALE REP in Spring 2017, at NYTW in Fall 2017, both with different casts, both directed by its Broadway director Anne Kauffman with MANHATTAN THEATRE CLUB producing this time around. While we know the lead will be different from either of those productions, we don’t have a full cast announcement yet to my knowledge. It was nominated for 7 Lortell Awards, and won 1 Drama Desk, 1 Obie, and the Drama Critics Circle Award for Best Play that season. I can only assume it’s been licensed elsewhere in those 7 yrs. I could see this one going either way.