bdn223 said: "OhHiii said: "BorisTomashevsky said: "chrishuyen said: "Some Like It Hot did some down-low papering leading up to opening. So what we’re seeing here is fewer audience members watching for free compared to the previous week, and a couple more audience members paying for their tickets."
More likely a function of having a full show for opening night the week prior (there were tickets on sale, so it counts) vs. this past week without."
Kimberly Akimboit might not be making money, but I have to assume it its very much hovering around its weekly operating cost. As suchit makes it to January 10th without posting a closure notice, I think its safe to assume that they are going to and have the capital reserved in order to run through awards season. Especially if its only loosing under $50K a week. Mathematically that would be only an additional $800K in capital losses through the Tony Nominations, where I would assume if it does get the most nominations its sales boost could likely cut those losses in half by the ceremony. Then if it sweeps and is the nights big winner as it currently looks like it might, if it plays to only 2 weeks of SRO houses it would completely earn back the losses of keeping it open through the winter.I know that is the ideal scenario, but the way the season is shaping up, it is a hypothetical I could see investors get behind.Some Like It Hot on the other hand is much more expensive to run and seems like it is operating a much more of a loss than Kimberly Akimbo.There is a massive difference between loosing under $50K a week and loosing between $50-$150K a week. I think its fate is very much up to how it sells the next 2 weeks to see if it can indeed attract tourist $."
Don't count on a KA sweep on Tony Night. It may take home a couple of the big awards, but it's not going to win set, costumes, choreo, etc that drive up the total number of trophies for a show. I'd say it's best shot is at 4/5 max (and that's with only the current running shows to compare to). And, the Tony performance is just as important as the wins. Unless they do Better on the telecast, unsure if there's something else that conveys the show's humor so succinctly. And I don't see how they do that on a telecast.
As for SLIH, you're right, the next two weeks will be indicative. Remember, though, the producers are also the landlords, so that's a massive weekly cost that is VERY much lower than it would be otherwise. So their losses may not be as insurmountable as they look without further context.