theatretenor2 said: "Saw this again last night for the second time and it was an even better experience, likely because I knew what to expect with some of the elongated numbers. "Dancing Through Life" and "Defying Gravity" particularlystood out as highlights this time when I thought they were the parts of the film that stalled the most on first viewing. Knowing I was going to be sitting through a 21-minute sequence in DTL made it better this time around. And yes, I clocked it.
As a Broadway fan, Igive the film asolid 10/10 for its musical execution and adaptation, but the film snob in me has some notes on the cinematography aspects and why I don’t think it willwin Best Picture. I also have some other Oscar predictions based on its strengths and weaknesses and based on what I've seen from other films.
Color Grading
The color grading has been something of atopic, and I can’t help but wonder if the more subdued, grayish tones in the early scenes were intentional. Perhaps Jon Chu and Alice Brooks were goingfor a Wizard of Oz-style gray-to-Technicolor transformation, with the post-Shiz scenes in the Emerald City becoming much more saturated and visually glorious. If that was their intent, it doesn’t land as distinctlyas it should. The transition feels underwhelming, and the gray tones fall flat rather than building the desired contrast. I will also say that The Ozdust scene colors are really fantastic.
Lens Flares
Alice Brooks seems to have taken a single page from Linus Sandgren’s playbook with her heavy use of lens flares—but she went overboard. On a second viewing, it became glaringly obvious that some of the flares were added in post-production, appearing and disappearing inconsistently. This choice draws attention for all the wrong reasons and becomes a bit of a distraction cinematically.
Lighting
The lighting is a recurring issue, with key moments suffering from poor execution. For example, in "The Wizard and I," Elphaba's scene in the gazebo feels awkwardly and poorlylit as if the chimes themselves were supposed to light her?Similarly, "I'm Not That Girl"and the forest scenes with Fiyero have noticeable lighting problems. Even some of the backlighting choices feel oddly placed throughout.
It’s frustrating to imagine what could have been achieved with someone like Linus Sandgren handling the cinematography. It literally wins Best Picture with better cinematography.
Oscars Outlook
While the cinematography and lighting leave much to be desired, there are several strengths the film has going for it when it comes to contending for Oscars.
Likely to Locks:
- Best Costume Design: A lock. The costumes are stunning and capture the essence of both the Broadway production and the fantastical world of Oz. While Dune: Part Two is likely it's biggest competition, I think Paul Tazewell gets his first Oscar here.
- Best Makeup and Hairstyling: A strong contender, but certainly not a lock.
Possible Wins:
- Best Production Design: This could go to Wicked or Dune: Part Two if the Academy feels Wicked was too CGI-ified when they had gorgeous practical sets.
- Best Score: An intriguing possibility. Despite being a musical, the underscoring adds to the story and could compete strongly in this category.
- Best Sound Design: It has a shot, though Dune: Part Two is morelikely.
Likely Nominations:
- Best Visual Effects: It will get nominated, though I don't think it willwin.
- Best Supporting Actress: Arianadelivered a show-stealing performance that surpassed expectations. While I could see a scenario where she andZoe Saldana (Emilia Perez) could split the vote and give it to someone else entirely, or Zoe could win it, I’m rooting for Ariana.
Not Likely:
- Best Cinematography: The issues with lighting, lens flares, and color grading will keep it out of contention.
- Adapted Screenplay: The screenplay is serviceable but not exceptional enough to break into this category.
- Film Editing: The editing is good but not great when held up to other possible contenders like Dune: Part Two and Conclave. Then again, Bohemian Rhapsody won Best Film Editing, so I supposeanything is possible.
Speaking of Possible:
- Best Actress: I hope Cynthia secures a nomination, but this is a stacked category with great lead performances this year, so I won't be shocked if she isn't nominated here.
- Best Director: Jon Chu deserves recognition for tackling such an ambitious project, from staging intricate ensemble numbers to managing the direction of all the montages ("What is this Feeling?). However, the film’s fan-service elements and uneven technical execution might hurt his chances. I could see a scenario where he's nominated for the second film if critical and box office success follows suit with the first part.
In total, I count seven likely nominations, with two more possible. While Wicked boasts standout elements, it won’t claim Best Picture due to its technical shortcomings, especially in cinematographyThat said, its music, performances, and design elements make it a strong contender in the creative categories.
Of course, I could be totally wrong and this could be another Bohemian Rhapsody situation. I predict it will be more of a Barbie situation."
It's not a lock for any wins quite yet- too soon to say.