Best Musical looks like a 3 way race, while Revival looks like a 2 way race. (I do not think they will want Titanique, as fun as it is, to be representative of the Best of Broadway).
Play looks like a race between the British import, GIANT, the Pulitzer winning and v American Liberation, or the slighter but funniest option, Balusters. Revival will almost surely go to DOAS.
I think its Josh Henry's year, and Caissie Levy's, but Im not sure whether its Lane's or Lithgow's. And I really don't know what they are going to do with Actress in a Play--Manville seems most likely. Laurie Metcalf will surely win for DOAS (her snub for Bear Ridge somehow makes that feel even more preordained?).
The rest is all over the place. Alden Ehrenreich or Chris Abbott? I can see an honorary nod to de Shields but Bourzgui enchanted the critics. I genuinely have no idea which of musical supporting actresses picks up steam, I guess Lewis is most likely of the bunch, but I really was not impressed with her either time I saw her play this role.