bdn223 said: "2020 might be the first season since 2011-2012 that the high brow Off Broadway Transfer will crowned best musical over the traditionally commercial musical/adaptation.
I know Kinky BootsandA Gentleman's Guide to Love and Murderwon in 2013 and 2014 respectively, but neither year had an Off Broadway transfer in the race. 2014 did have After Midnight, but it is a revue and also was completely reworked to the point of having a different title when it was presented at Encores asCotton Club Parade.
Jagged Little Pilland Moulin Rouge opened to mixed to positive reviews, the later of which's production was nearly universally praised. This could lead to a Lion King vs Ragtimescenario, where voters will reward the best production, instead of the bestmusical on paper.Sing Street opened to truly mixed reviews, andThe Girl from the North Countryopened to overall positive reviews. The issue The Girl from the North Countrywill face is twofold. First is its a true downer, with little joy, which is can be a tough sell with voters if there is a feel good show that is just as well received. Second and more importantly is nearly every review points out that the show is a play with music and not a musical. It will clearly be placed in the musical category, based on the previous productions, but voters might not want to reward a play with music as best musical."
Are Fun Home, The Band’s Visit and Hadestown not high-brow off-Broadway transfers? Since Fun Home, the Tony-winning Best Musicals have all been transfers from off-Broadway.