Mr. Wormwood said: "kdogg36 said: "The Outsiders, with the top average ticket price this week, is succeeding beyond all my expectations, and I love that. What do you think is driving its success compared toKimberly AkimboandA Strange Loop, the two previous Best Musical winners?
I suspect the familiarity of the title has a lot to do with it. In saying that, I don't mean to questionthe show's quality at all, but The Outsiders isvastly outperforming its two equally esteemedpredecessors.What are your thoughts?"
I think there's fourtypes of Tony winners (I'm just using back to 2011 for examples but it could go back further):
1. The little, somewhat niche showthat is critically beloved and wins the Tony. Its life gets prolonged to one degree or another, but only so far because it was never going to be a massive hit even with the Tony win (Fun Home, Gentlemen's Guide, The Band's Visit, A Strange Loop, Kimberly Akimbo, Once)
2. A musical that could have gone either way early on buthas already captured the zeitgeist and is on the ascent by the time the Tony win happens. Then the Tony win just confirms the ascent and catapults it into the stratosphere for awhile (Kinky Boots, Dear Evan Hansen, Hadestown)
3. The major IP property that is already well known because of its title but the Tony win cements it as an acclaimed show too so it ascends to the stratosphere for awhile because its pairing a well known property with a Tony win (Moulin Rouge, The Outsiders).
4. The unstoppable juggernaut that is just a straight up massive hit with no caveats and is destined to win the Tony months ahead of time (The Book of Mormon, Hamilton)"
I agree but also keep in mind the Tonys is a competition and there’s only 1 winner for Best Musical. Thus it also depends which other musicals gets nominated that year. In some years like 2004 the competition is fierce. I bet if WICKED or MATILDA or COME FROM AWAY were in another season it would have won Best Musical. If we didn’t have the pandemic, then Moulin Rouge would have had more competition.