Mr. Wormwood said: "With the Tonys over and the first show of 2025-26 opening this week, I wanted to start up a new thread similar to last year's that I did. I'll update this as the season goes on to see what's available or what might be. The categorization as far as possible theaters is mine so if you disagree, feel free to share why! Before you @ me about some of the new shows, let's see how they play into the summer and the fall before determining if they make it all the way to a year from now!
Theaters Officially Available in 2025-26
August Wilson (Cabaret closing 10/19)
Booth (available in Spring after John Proctor and Little Bear Ridge Road)
Broadhurst
Ethel Barrymore
Hudson (available in Spring afterWaiting for Godot)
Imperial
James Earl Jones
Longacre
Majestic (Gypsy closing 8/17)
Music Box (available in Spring afterArt)
Nederlander (Take a Banana For A Ride runs 8/18 to 9/2
Theaters Likely Available in 2025-26
John Golden (Operation Mincemeat)
Lyceum (Oh Mary scheduled to close 1/4but could extend)
Winter Garden (Mamma Mia scheduled to close 2/1 but could extend)
Theaters Maybe Available in 2025-26
Al Hirschfeld (Moulin Rouge)
Belasco (Maybe Happy Ending)
Broadway (The Great Gatsby)
Circle in the Square (Just in Time)
Gerald Schoenfeld (Buena Vista Social Club)
Lena Horne (Six)
Lunt-Fontanne (Death Becomes Her)
Lyric (Harry Potter)
Marquis (Stranger Things)
Shubert (Hell's Kitchen)
Stephen Sondheim (& Juliet)
Walter Kerr (Hadestown)
Theaters Unlikely or Not Available in 2025-26
Ambassador (Chicago)
Bernard B. Jacobs (The Outsiders)
Eugene O'Neill (The Book of Mormon)
Gershwin (Wicked)
Minskoff (The Lion King)
Neil Simon (MJ)
New Amsterdam (Aladdin)
Palace (Beetlejuice then The Lost Boys)
Richard Rodgers (Hamilton)
St. James (Sunset then The Queen of Versailles)
Subscription Houses
Hayes (Purpose/Marjorie Prime/Becky Shaw)
Samuel J. Friedman (Punch/The Balusters)
Studio 54 (Call Me Izzy/Rocky Horror/Oedipus)
Todd Haimes (Pirates/Fallen Angels)
Vivian Beaumont (Ragtime)"
Appreciate the analysis. Thoughts where I either disagree or have questions / observations.
1. I think the Golden will be available. It’s grosses have been going down and it must be pretty close to breakeven at this point.
2. I am betting Oh! Mary! Will extend as long as they can find good people to take over. Breakeven must be pretty low, and I would think Cole would love to have a long run play (rarer and rarer these days) to his credit.
3. I hope the Winter Garden is available if all they are showing is something on a road stop.
4. I’ll bet that the Hirschfeld, Broadway, Horne, Lyric, Marquis, Shubert and probably the Sondheim and Kerr will be available and the Belasco will definitely not be. CITS depends on how long JG wants to stay. I went to purchase tickets for friends in November and was amazed at how well it is sold already.
5. I wonder whether Chicago may be getting near to its end. Grosses have been bad for quite awhile and unless they do some very effective stunt casting soon, they may be out of steam. Of course, that theatre is so awful that the Shubert org might be incented to reduce their charges even more, just to keep it occupied.
6. Having seen Versailles and found it distasteful — the lead character is a selfish, shallow jerk, only redeemed by the fact that she is played by KC — I will be very surprised if they can turn it around. If it is as distasteful as it was in Boston, IMO WOM will be awful. The open question is how many tickets will be sold in advance because of Chenoweth and Schwartz. That said, even with bad reviews, and low full price ticket sales after reviews come out, it will probably run long enough to preclude another show opening during the 25/26 season.