As we know, it's all about context. TOOTSIE failed because the show didn't connect with mass audiences and was not actually very good (despite the critical acclaim). Internet chatter does not significantly permeate beyond the walls of Twitter, which is a tiny bubble of people who aren't buying full-price tickets.
DOUBTFIRE learned from TOOTSIE and had trans consultants and in general is more palatable as the story of "guy who wants to spend time with his kids and improve his life" instead of "male actor can't get a job so he pretends to be a woman." It, like TOOTSIE, is struggling because it has a bad score, a not-great book, and it's dealing with the looming iconography of Robin Williams.
SOME LIKE IT HOT might –– or might not –– have the benefit of being the third of such musicals, and it has already anticipated some problems by hiring a Black woman as co-bookwriter, in addition to its gay male creative team (Lopez, Shaiman, Wittman, Nicholaw, Meron). We know from Hairspray and The Prom that this team has great compassion towards issues of race and sexuality. One of the three leads of the workshop is non-binary (J. Harrison Ghee), and two are Black. None of this means it's guaranteed to be a hit. But I have MUCH more optimism about this than about Doubtfire's ability to rebound.
Updated On: 3/2/22 at 11:54 AM