2024 Tony Predictions — Page 3

I thought the book of Illinoise was magnificent. it may seem simplistic weaving stories from a concept album to an urban campfire setting. I have listened to the album and it was very difficult to incorporate all songs from the album into one coherent show but in my opinion the books succeeded in offering us an emotional roller coaster ride in movement and dance alone. Stories about a serial killer, then Superman’s mortality, zombies - all disjointed songs all brought together by said campfire storytelling that ultimately was a build up to the main heart of the show - the Heart wrenching story of Ricky Ubeda’s character Henry. It’s quite an amazing feat if you think that the whole show was about the beautiful power of storytelling but was creatively expressed through dance.

My guesses (without benefit of Gatsby, Mother Play reviews)

Play: Stereophonics, French Republic, JaJa, Patriots

Musical: Suffs, Hells Kitchen, Outsiders, Illinoise, Wine/Roses

Play Revival: Appropriate, Enemy of the People, Purlie, Mary Jane, Doubt

Musical Revival: Merrily, Cabaret, Tommy, Spamalot, Gutenberg

Actor Play: Leslie Odom, Jeremy Strong, Michael Stuhlbarg, Liev Schreiber

Actress Play: Jessica Lange, Rachael McAdams, Sarah Paulson, Betsy Aidem, Amy Ryan

S Actor Play: Will Keen, William Harper Jackson, Corey Stoll, Will Brill, Billy Eugene Jones

S Actress Play: Kara Young, Sarah Pidgeon, Francis Benhamou, Allison Pill, Lakisha May

Actor Musical: Groff, BDJ, Brody Grant, Chip Zien, Dorian Harewood, Ali Louis Bourzghi

Actress Musical: Kelli O'Hara, Shaina Taub, Eden Espinosa, Ariella Jacobs, Maleah Joi Moon, Maryann Plunkett

S Actor Musical: Radcliffe, Skybell, Paul Alexander Nolan, George Abud, Joshua Boone, Wayne Brady or Philip Johnson Richardson

S Actress Musical: Lindsay Mendez, Leslie Kritzer, Bebe, Kecia Lewis, Nikki James, Jenn Collela.

With Eden’s several missed performances since opening, will enough nominators have seen her for her to make the cut? I hope she gets a nomination, especially since who knows what her career is going to look like after this thing closes. I genuinely feel bad for her.

MayAudraBlessYou2 said: "I do think one of the favorites in Lead Actress will be snubbed though. Maybe Eden. Maybe Gayle."

With most reviews singling Gayle out as a weak spot, I get the impression she'll be left out.

I feel like Eden has a great deal of industry support and goodwill behind her to prevent a snub.

Lead actor in a play is a two-horse race between Strong and Leslie Odom Jr., and with the proshot of Purlie Victorious premiering on PBS in a month, I don't think there'll be as much recency bias in play as last year (Henderson vs. Hayes).

Odom has won a Tony before though (and relatively recently, in 2016), which may flip the pendulum in Strong's direction.

Updated On: 4/25/24 at 12:51 PM

Predict Iman gets nominated for the largest supporting roles of the season, handled well.

Updated On: 4/25/24 at 01:03 PM

MadsonMelo said: "I know we don't even have the nominations yet, but some awards feels very certain to me.

Best Play - Stereophonic

Best Actor in a Play - Jeremy Strong

Best Featured Actor in a Musical - Daniel Radcliffe (what is his competition??)

Best Choreography - Illinoise

One category that for me is blank is Actor in a Play. I though Will Keem would get but the reception for Patriots was so lukewarm that I don't know anymore. William Jackson Harper? Will Brill?"

The weird thing about Featured Actor in a Play is it feels like one of the more competitive fields for the nomination, but none of the top contenders feel like they check the usual boxes for a winner.

Keen seems to fit that mold the best, but like you said, he may be held back by a show that people are otherwise not too passionate about.

I had him just outside my top five before, but I’m starting to feel like Eli Gelb may take it. I thought his work might be seen as too light earlier, but everyone seems really taken with this performance and character. I’d be happy to see things go that way, he’d be a great winner.

Lead Actor in a Play is definitely not a done deal for Strong. I think Stuhlbarg has by far the most physical performance of the bunch. And he does the MOST acting. I think he has the edge. Probably the one win for Patriots.



Featured Actor in a Play is totally up for grabs. One of the Stereophonic guys maybe? Or Corey Stoll, given the strength of Appropriate

MadsonMelo said: "Best Featured Actor in a Musical - Daniel Radcliffe (what is his competition??)"

I agree that the Tony is likely Daniel's to lose. But I'd say his biggest competition is Steven Skybell in Cabaret. His performance is stunning and he, along with Bebe, was one of the few sources of near-universal praise amongst the mixed reviews by the critics last weekend.

At the moment, I still think Daniel and Lindsay both win Featured Actor and Actress, but I could see a universe in which Bebe and/or Steven swoop in for one or both.

Unlike previous years, Best Featured Actor in a Play is one of the most exciting races for me this season. My picks are William Jackson Harper (Uncle Vanya), Will Brill (Stereophonic), Eli Gelb (Stereophonic), Will Keen (Patriots), and Corey Stoll (Appropriate). I believe they are each equally deserving of the win.

Best Score

Days of Wine and Roses

Harmony

Suffs

Here Lies Love

Water for Elephants

BETTY22 said: "Best Score

Days of Wine and Roses

Harmony

Suffs

Here Lies Love

Water for Elephants"

I hope Stereophonic gets a score nomination. Those songs are wonderful.