Official Way Too Early 2018 Tony Predictions Thread- Page 13

[MadsonMelo]

Posted: 4/9/18 at 12:16am

Its such a weak year that I believe Mean Girls can get two or even three featured Girls nominated.

Mendez and Salonga are likely. But who else? Will they really like Bands Visit to nominated people that barely sings? Or Rigg in a non-singing role for MFL? Will OOTI have the Power to nominated Miller?

Its a tricky one.

[CurtainPullDowner]

Posted: 4/9/18 at 12:29am

I think only one female from MEAN GIRLS may get a nod.

Flemming could get a nod and I believe Rigg will def get one.

It's getting crowded here, with Miller, Salonga, and Mendez also possibilities.

 

Posted: 4/9/18 at 3:57am

SomethingPeculiar said:
People were impressed with his performance in RAISIN IN THE SUN, too (after much pre-previews skepticism about his age), and then he didn't even get nominated. But maybe there will be regret for overlooking him in 2014?

I think Washington was probably suffering with movie star/fatigue backlash in 2014. Daniel Radcliffe was snubbed the same year as well, and many thought he was worth a nomination as well. A lot of rank and file Broadway people seemed miffed that all these A-list screen actors were hoovering up Tonys (as happened the year Washington won with Scarlett Johansson and Catherine Zeta Jones).

Will that affect Washington now? I'm not so sure. He feels like a legitimate Broadway fixture now. He's obviously not in this to win a Tony. He's got one already, and he's rich and respected enough not to need to ever do stage again. He's an actor who loves theatre, whose regular returns are now a vital and much welcome boost to the Broadway economy. I don't think people vote for winners for that reason specifically, but if he gets nominated, I don't think it'll hurt him. Updated On: 4/9/18 at 03:57 AM

[Notreallysilent 2]

Posted: 4/9/18 at 6:44am

Is Imogen Heap music for Harry Potter counted as an original score? I think some of the music was made specifically for the show while other songs were reused. With mean girls getting pretty poor reviews on the score is there a chance Imogen Heap could get nominated?

[ACL2006]

Posted: 4/9/18 at 9:33am

I think Mean Girls is now a lock for a Best Musical nom since it's reviews were better than Frozen.

Best Musical noms:
A Band's Visit
SpongeBob
Mean Girls
Frozen?

[IdinaBellFoster]

Posted: 4/9/18 at 9:41am

I don't see Salonga getting nominated. She was good, but she's hardly who I think about weeks after seeing the show. 

[little_sally]

Posted: 4/9/18 at 1:26pm

IdinaBellFoster said: "I don't see Salonga getting nominated. She was good, but she's hardly who I think about weeks after seeing the show."

I agree; I'd rather see Kenita Miller or Merle Dandridge get nominated. I found Salonga forgettable.

I'd also rather see Kate Rockwell and Ashley Park nominated over Barrett Wilbur Weed. But it would be interesting to see how they place Louderman.

 

[LesWickedly]

Posted: 4/9/18 at 1:35pm

I’m thinking either Mean Girls was the last show before the Tony Committee’s next ruling or they’ll wait until Carousel opens (the day after Children of a Lesser God opens) to make their rulings.

[MadsonMelo]

Posted: 4/9/18 at 6:45pm

Well, guessing, these are how the nominations will be spilled as far as my counting goes:

The Band's Visit - 10/12 nominations;

Once on this Island - 10 nominations;

Mean Girls - 8/10 nominations;

My Fair Lady - 9 nominations;

SpongeBob - 7/8 nominations;

Frozen - 6/8 nominations;

Carousel - 4/6 nominations.

Mean Girls and SpongeBob are the most difficult to predict, they can go really high (like 12 for Mean Girls or 8 for SpongeBob) or they can go really low (7 for Mean Girls and 5 for SpongeBob).

[Bwayfan292]

Posted: 4/9/18 at 7:34pm

Again, I doubt Spongebob will rack up that many nominations. But hopefully im wrong!

[BroadwayConcierge]

Posted: 4/9/18 at 7:40pm

My current thoughts on the performance nominations:

Lead Actor: Harry Hadden-Paton, Joshua Henry, Tony Shalhoub, and Ethan Slater (only four)

Lead Actress: Lauren Ambrose, Hailey Kilgore, Katrina Lenk, Jessie Mueller, Patti Murin

Featured Actor: Norbert Leo Butz, Grey Henson, Gavin Lee, Alex Newell, Ari'el Stachel

Featured Actress: Caissie Levy, Lindsay Mendez, Kenita R. Miller, Diana Rigg, Kate Rockwell

Updated On: 4/9/18 at 07:40 PM

[pupscotch]

Posted: 4/9/18 at 7:50pm

BroadwayConcierge said: "My current thoughts on the performance nominations:

Lead Actor: Harry Hadden-Paton, Joshua Henry, Tony Shalhoub, and Ethan Slater (only four)

Lead Actress: LaurenAmbrose, Hailey Kilgore, CaissieLenk, Jessie Mueller, Patti Murin

Featured Actor: Norbert Leo Butz, Grey Henson, Gavin Lee, AlexNewell, Ari'el Stachel

Featured Actress:Caissie Levy, LindsayMendez, Kenita R.Miller, Diana Rigg, Kate Rockwell"

 

For all your love for Katrina Lenk, I’m shocked you nominated Caissie Lenk over her

[BroadwayConcierge]

Posted: 4/9/18 at 8:01pm

LOL! Oops! Fixed it, thanks, pupscotch

[Elegance101]

Posted: 4/9/18 at 10:27pm

I kind of think the Frozen girls will split the vote between them. I don't see one of them getting nominated over the other, but I guess it could happen.

Also, I still don't think Kenita Miller will get the nomination. The role just wasn't very big and I think Salonga has a flashier role (mainly because she's Lea Salonga).

[JBroadway]

Posted: 4/9/18 at 10:39pm

Elegance101 said: "Also, I still don't think Kenita Miller will get the nomination. The role just wasn't very big and I think Salonga has a flashier role (mainly because she's Lea Salonga)."

I agree about Kenita. I have nothing against her, but tbh it didn't even occur to me that she might be a contender until I saw all the posts on this board about how much everyone adored her. I thought both she and Boykin were very good, but to me they were not stand-outs. I kind of feel like this "Kenita will be nominated" train is a bit of a pipe dream constructed by like-minded Broadwayworld users. But hey, I could very much be wrong. It wouldn't be the first time a nominated (or winning) performance went right over my head while watching the show.

[Sauja]

Posted: 4/9/18 at 10:41pm

Bwayfan292 said: "Again, I doubt Spongebob will rack up that many nominations. But hopefully im wrong!"

This is one I’m so curious about. It has better reviews than Frozen or Mean Girls, and there were raves for its design. I see it getting Musical, Book, Score, Set, Costume, Lighting, and Actor. But then I think there’s possibility for Director, Sound, Featured Actor, and...dare I suggest Choreography? That last one is maybe hardest to imagine, but I was so unimpressed with the Carousel and Mean Girls choreography. Once on this Island and Harry Potter have the only choreography I think is truly award worthy...I don’t know. It seems like it could sneak in! On the other hand, I can imagine it getting just five or so. But as more shows open, it’s chances just seem better and better to break into categories none of us may have anticipated a couple months ago.

[HeyMrMusic]

Posted: 4/9/18 at 11:15pm

Who knows, we could possibly see Dandridge, Miller, and Salonga all nominated. I think they’re all deserving and are giving (or have given in Dandridge’s case) standout performances in Once On This Island. As much as I love Renée Fleming as a singer and overall performer (and there’s no one who sings Nettie’s songs better than she), I’d rather see the OOTI women recognized before her. We’ve seen instances where ensemble shows have three performers nominated in one category. In a “crowded but weak” category, you never know.

[EponineThenardier]

Posted: 4/9/18 at 11:36pm

Lindsay is a goddess said: "BroadwayConcierge said: "Denise Gough just won the Olivier forAngels in America. She's gonna win the Tony."

And Noma Dumezweni won last year for Harry Potter."

Correct me if I'm wrong, but I believe Gough won for supporting/featured and Dumezweni won for leading. They could both win, yippie!

Edit: jk. Dumezweni was supporting. Carry on.

Updated On: 4/9/18 at 11:36 PM

[BroadwayConcierge]

Posted: 4/9/18 at 11:37pm

EponineThenardier said: "Correct me if I'm wrong, but I believe Gough won for supporting/featured and Dumezweni won for leading. They could both win, yippie!"

Sorry, but they won the same award for Supporting Actress in different years. 

[Bwayfan292]

Posted: 4/9/18 at 11:43pm

Sorry for the dumb question but can The boys in the band get any tonys this year?

[CurtainPullDowner]

Posted: 4/9/18 at 11:46pm

Yes, they can.

Oh, no they can't.

Updated On: 4/11/18 at 11:46 PM

[BroadwayConcierge]

Posted: 4/9/18 at 11:48pm

Bwayfan292 said: "Sorry for the dumb question but can The boys in the band get any tonys this year?"

No, they can't. They're opening after the Tony eligibility cutoff date, which is Thursday, April 26. They don't begin previews until April 30.

[rattleNwoolypenguin]

Posted: 4/11/18 at 5:57pm

It's really a bummer that there were SO many great original shows last year and they all sorta canceled each other out. This would be such a better year for Comet and Bandstand and Groundhog Day and War Paint. Dear Evan Hansen just kinda crushed all of them. This is a weak year. One of the weakest years in a while.

Not to say everything is bad, but very little is fresh.

I guess it'll be nice though for David Yazbeck to finally have a year of recognition haha I mean nothing is standing in the way of Band's Visit winning.

Updated On: 4/11/18 at 05:57 PM

[MadsonMelo]

Posted: 4/11/18 at 7:05pm

I don't even want to think about how Comet and Groundhog Day could have been the winner this year and would not be a total flop thanks to ''Tony Winner Best Musical''. Its sad.

[Lindsay is a goddess]

Posted: 4/11/18 at 7:12pm

HeyMrMusic said: "Who knows, we could possibly see Dandridge, Miller, and Salonga all nominated. I think they’re all deserving and are giving (or have given in Dandridge’s case) standout performances in Once On This Island. As much as I love Renée Fleming as a singer and overall performer (and there’s no one who sings Nettie’s songs better than she), I’d rather see the OOTI women recognized before her. We’ve seen instances where ensemble shows have three performers nominated in one category. In a “crowded but weak” category, you never know."

I fully support Salonga and Miller, but I just can’t see an actress who left the role before January receiving a nomination. It just doesn’t seem plausible to me, regardless of how strong Dandridge’s performance was. Her chances went the way of Papa Ge the second she left the role.