WAY TOO EARLY 2023 Tony Award Predictions — Page 5

KevinKlawitter said: "A couple of notes on the Play side of things based on the preview threads (with obligatory caveat being that things could change & the people on these boards don't always mesh taste-wise with critics or Tony voters) John David Washington seems to be highlighted as a standout ofThe Piano Teacher more so than Samuel L. Jackson, and people seem to seeAndre DeShields as being miscast inDeath of a Salesman"



The double take I just did! I hope no one tries to adapt The Piano Teacher for the stage...the film is a masterpiece. I can see Van Hove trying to do it.

these are my winner for the musical categories (just winners)

Best Musical - Kimberly Akimbo

Revival - Into The Woods

Actor - Josh Groban in Sweeney Todd

Actress - Victoria Clark in Kimberly Akimbo

Featured Actor - Paul Zsot in & Juliet

Featured Actress - Phillipa Soo - Into The Woods

Direction - 1776

Book - Kimberly Akimbo

Score - Kimberly Akimbo

Costume - & Juliet

Set - Sweeney Todd (Prediction)

Lighting - KPOP

Sound - KPOP

Choreography - KPOP

Orchestrations - Sweeney Todd

Thoughts?

I believe O'Gleby is the only credited choreographer for the Broadway run of Almost Famous, Ermengarde. Latarro did choreo for the San Diego tryout pre-pandemic.

ErmengardeStopSniveling said: "SWEENEY is using Jonathan Tunick's original orchestrations. Thus, they will be ineligible."

Tunick's original and unmatched Sweeney orchestrations pre-dated the "Best Orchestrations" Tony by nearly 20 years.. Are they still not eligible, given they were not originally eligible in 1979 - nor were they used for either Broadway revival?

Leopoldstadt gives me Lehman vibes and that obviously did quite well last season.

I don't find Leopoldstat to give off Lehman vibes at all. Lehman Trilogy was a marriage of a great acting gimmick, grand design work, and ingenious directing. It was also a hit when it comes to ticket sales. Leopoldstadt is wonderful, but is a much different type of play.

It's main hurdle is the fact that the entire cast is likely competing in the featured categories together. Maybe one could make the argument for Krumholtz as Lead Actor, but I suspect the whole cast will be put in featured. I would say the best chances for acting nominations are Krumholtz, Uranowitz, Faye Castelow, and Arty Froushan. I can see the period costumes getting nominated, but it's an unlikely contender for other design categories. So at this point in the season, I'd say it probably looking at a 5-6 nomination haul: Play, Director, Costume Design, and 2-3 acting noms.

MayAudraBlessYou2 said: "I don't find Leopoldstat to give off Lehman vibes at all. Lehman Trilogy was a marriage of a great acting gimmick, grand design work, and ingenious directing. It was also a hit when it comes to ticket sales. Leopoldstadt is wonderful, but is a much different type of play.

It's main hurdle is the fact that the entire cast is likely competing in the featured categories together. Maybe one could make the argument for Krumholtz as Lead Actor, but I suspect the whole cast will be put in featured. I would say the best chances for acting nominations are Krumholtz, Uranowitz, Faye Castelow, and Arty Froushan. I can see the period costumes getting nominated, but it's an unlikely contender for other design categories. So at this point in the season, I'd say it probably looking at a 5-6 nomination haul: Play, Director, Costume Design, and 2-3 acting noms."

I'm not saying the plays are really so similar, it's more that it's a prestige epic play about Jewish history that attracts a very upper-class New York (often Jewish) crowd and seems to be turning into a box office hit.

Smaxie said: "TBD, but Elizabeth Franz and Linda Emond were nominated in the Featured Actress in a Play category for their Linda Lomans for the last two Broadway revivals of Death of a Salesman (and Franz won)."

Given how comparatively sparse Featured Actress in a Play is compared to the other acting categories, if Clarke goes Featured that Tony will probably be signed, sealed and delivered.

RWPrincess said: "I know the season is stacked with great plays but I really hope that The Kite Runner isn't forgotten."

I think it will be simply because reviewers did not think it was a great play.

MadsonMelo said: "I didn't know Brooks was a lead in PIANO LESSON. The category seems weak, two contenders from shows that will only open in April and one contender that it's likely to be placed in featured."

I would be shocked if they put Danielle Brooks in lead. It's very much a supporting role. But you're right that –– so far –– it is a weak category based on shows announced, with only Jodie Comer, Audra, Laura Linney, and MAYBE Sharon D. Clarke (depending on category placement). Is Katy Sullivan a lead in Cost of Living?

Updated On: 10/18/22 at 01:01 PM

ErmengardeStopSniveling said: "MadsonMelo said: "I didn't know Brooks was a lead in PIANO LESSON.The category seems weak, two contenders from shows that will only open in April and one contender that it's likely to be placed in featured."

I would be shocked if they put Danielle Brooks in lead. It's very much a supporting role. But you're right that –– so far –– it is a weak category based on shows announced, with onlyJodie Comer, Audra, Laura Linney, and MAYBE Sharon D. Clarke (depending on category placement).Is Katy Sullivan a lead in Cost of Living?"

To be fair, S. Epatha Merkerson was nominated in featured, so I guess they will push the same for Danielle.

If Sharon D. Clarke is also featured, this means we only have these contenders?

- Audra McDonald, Ohio States Murders

- Laura Linney, Summer, 1976

- Jodie Comer, Prima Facie

That's more barren than I tought.

Leopoldstadt and The Kite Runner doesnt have female leads, right?

Maybe Cost of Living? Lulu is supporting in ''Between Riverside'' as I know.

If things are so sparse, maybe Sharon will be in lead after all.

MadsonMelo said: "ErmengardeStopSniveling said: "MadsonMelo said: "I didn't know Brooks was a lead in PIANO LESSON.The category seems weak, two contenders from shows that will only open in April and one contender that it's likely to be placed in featured."

I would be shocked if they put Danielle Brooks in lead. It's very much a supporting role. But you're right that –– so far –– it is a weak category based on shows announced, with onlyJodie Comer, Audra, Laura Linney, and MAYBE Sharon D. Clarke (depending on category placement).Is Katy Sullivan a lead in Cost of Living?"

To be fair,S. Epatha Merkerson was nominated in featured, so I guess they will push the same for Danielle.

If Sharon D. Clarke is also featured, this means we only have these contenders?

- Audra McDonald, Ohio States Murders

- Laura Linney, Summer, 1976

- Jodie Comer, Prima Facie

That's more barren than I tought.

Leopoldstadt and The Kite Runner doesnt have female leads, right?

Maybe Cost of Living? Lulu is supporting in ''Between Riverside'' as I know.

If things are so sparse, maybe Sharon will be in lead after all."

Maybe someone more familiar with the play can clarify this, but maybe Crystal Lucas-Perry or Fedna Jacquet from Ain't No Mo' could contend in Actress.

Actually, on second thought, considering the way this revival of SALESMAN ends, I think you could make an argument that Clarke is a Lead. But it could go either way, it's all up to the producers.