Posted: 12/19/21 at 8:11pm
BroadwayGirl107 said: "Okay, I’ll be that asshole. Unless I’m massively misinformed it sounds like vaccinated folks who’ve contracted omicron are asymptomatic or experience it as a minor cold. Everyone on Broadway HAS to be vaccinated to enter the theater—actors, crew, FOH, audience. If that’s the case, why all the cancellations for something that’s basically a common cold? Have any of these folks actually gotten sick?"
You are operating under the assumption that vaccinated people won't get sick, get hospitalized or worse.
It is too early to see how omicron works - hospitalizations generally starts 2-3 weeks after infections. However for Delta, hospitalizations were like 85% unvaccinated and 15% vaccinated. Depending on age and health situation, even vaccinated people can get sick or even worse.
With Omicron, it is obvious that it is more contagious. Higher number of infections means even though it might be milder more people will end up sick. Let's say with Delta you have 100 infections and 10% get real sick - so 10 hospitalizations. Let's say with Omicron only 5% get real sick but you have 500 infections, you'll have 25 hospitalizations.
One thing is for sure. With Omicron, if you allow a positive case inside the theater, close proximity, no mask, singing, dancing, you'll end up with a lot of infected people- like 19 people at Hamilton, or "rampant" in Doubtfire. Those people will probably end up infecting their families as well including children too young to be vaccinated or parents who are older and not that healthy.
So my question to you, if you were a producer would you be willing to start an outbreak among your cast, crew and their families and hope no one gets real sick or dies? Especially the older cast members who are probably big Broadway stars? Or would you think we don't know enough yet to say "oh this is just a common cold anymore" so it is better to play safe for a little while longer? It all comes down to your risk tolerance. Clearly you have a high risk tolerance. That might not be the case for the performers especially with families, or the producers who could be found liable if something bad happens.
To be clear, it will eventually come to a point that we don't care about infections or even test for that. We aren't there yet though. Unfortunately there isn't enough hospital capacity, antiviral drugs aren't approved or available yet, monoclonal antibody treatments are limited and no one know if they are still effective or not.
Updated On: 12/19/21 at 08:11 PM