Insert name of show : posting closing notices

[rosscoe(au)]

Posted: 4/30/24 at 9:49am

Let it begin 

 

I’ll start , get rid of the crap called Back To The Future 

[ElephantLoveMedley]

Posted: 4/30/24 at 10:00am

I can't imagine The Heart of Rock and Roll is much longer for this world after this morning.

[Mr. Wormwood]

Posted: 4/30/24 at 10:09am

I think the only shows in immediate danger are Lempicka and Heart of Rock and Roll. I don't expect them to make it to Tonys night but they were already in trouble.

I think The Notebook could be next after that.

Suffs will surely make it to Tony night but I don't know if it'll last through the summer.

Despite the lack of Tony love, I expect Gatsby, BTTF and Tommy to at least run through the summer.

[BroadwayRox3588]

Posted: 4/30/24 at 10:16am

rosscoe(au) said: "Let it begin



I’ll start , get rid of the crap called Back To The Future"

Interesting one to start with. I'm sure there's no agenda to this thread at all. Nope. Not one bit.

[Theatrefanboy1]

Posted: 4/30/24 at 10:22am

Wow beat me to it.  
 

im going to say

heart of rock and roll - closes within the next 21 days

lempicka - closes within the next 21 days

suffs - closes after july 4 weekend

great Gatsby - makes it through the summer. But not the year. 
 

back to the future - makes it through to September long weekend

the notebook- closes by September long weekend

water for elephants - closes in January 

the wiz - closes by September long weekend 

Tommy closes out September long weekend

Hell’s Kitchen - doesn’t make it a year


the only one I really see having staying power is The Outsiders. It kind of is building that newsies fan base

[Zeppie2022]

Posted: 4/30/24 at 10:30am

"Wow beat me to it. im going to say heart of rock and roll - closes within the next 21 days lempicka - closes within the next 21 days suffs - closes after july 4 weekend great Gatsby - makes it through the summer. But not the year. back to the future - makes it through to September long weekend the notebook- closes by September long weekend water for elephants - closes in January the wiz - closes by September long weekend Tommy closes out September long weekend Hell’s Kitchen - doesn’t make it a year the only one I really see having staying power is The Outsiders. It kind of is building that newsies fan base"

This is kind of sad. Shows just open and seems the majority will not even last 6 months. Even Tony award winner for "Best Musical" is barely running much more than a year in most cases lately.

[gibsons2]

Posted: 4/30/24 at 10:34am

rosscoe(au) said: "Let it begin

I’ll start , get rid of the crap called Back To The Future"

I think it should stay. It's a show that reliably attracts families with grown kids/teens. It's a "safe" choice for tourists families and good business for the Broadway overall. There are normally not that many shows like this running on any given day, except The Lion King and Aladdin.  

[yyys]

Posted: 4/30/24 at 10:35am

none of these new musicals are of Hadestown caliber.  Probably all will close within a year.

[Huss417]

Posted: 4/30/24 at 10:58am

yyys said: "none of these new musicals are of Hadestown caliber. Probably all will close within a year."

Wow, I'm impressed you were able to see them all already.

[Kad]

Posted: 4/30/24 at 11:10am

The only two shows who will be posting notices in the immediate future are Heart of Rock and Roll and Lempicka.

Heart will have a rough day: a Tony shutout and then another dismal gross report later. It could announce a closure sometime between today and end of the week.

Lempicka will likely attempt an underdog campaign and try to hold on for a few more weeks. The few nominations it got won't turn it around and it's not going to win them, but the producers seem willing to throw money at it.

Everything else seems fine for at least through the summer.

[quizking101]

Posted: 4/30/24 at 11:11am

Theatrefanboy1 said: "Wow beat me to it.


im going to say

heart of rock and roll - closes within the next 21 days

lempicka - closes within the next 21 days

suffs - closes after july 4 weekend

great Gatsby - makes it through the summer. But not the year.

back to the future - makes it through to September long weekend

the notebook- closes by September long weekend

water for elephants - closes in January

the wiz - closes by September long weekend

Tommy closes out September long weekend

Hell’s Kitchen - doesn’t make it a year


the only one I really see having staying power is The Outsiders. It kind of is building that newsies fan base"

I think Lempicka got a major lifeboat with 3 Tony nominations to get them at least to the ceremony. HoR&R will be gone by 5/12.

Gatsby has name recognition and also the benefit of a Thursday matinee, which could bring in extra summer crowds. I think it has longer than just the summer.

The Wiz was always a limited run to August 18th, but I wonder if this will kneecap it into closing early.

[Jarethan]

Posted: 4/30/24 at 11:50am

The Wiz was always a limited run to August 18th, but I wonder if this will kneecap it into closing early."

I doubt that The Wiz’s target audience even knows what the Tony’s are.  Won’t impact it an iota.  I expect great business all summer.  Time will tell if they extend.

[The8re phan]

Posted: 4/30/24 at 11:52am

To be honest, i wouldn't be at all surprised if HOR&R and Lempicka announce thier closings shortly after this afternoon's weekly grosses are published

[Broadway Flash]

Posted: 4/30/24 at 11:57am

I don’t understand all the hate for back to the future. Yes, it’s pedestrian. But it’s a lot of fun, wonderful big musical numbers and effects. And Roger Bart and Hugh Cole’s and Casey Likes rock. 

[darquegk]

Posted: 4/30/24 at 12:08pm

Outsiders is building a fanbase, but it's a young fanbase. Hasn't it historically been the case that musicals that appeal to youth audiences in particular do worse, because they're being consumed as mass media and not as tickets sold? Or did "Six" prove that theory wrong?

[Bill Snibson]

Posted: 4/30/24 at 12:22pm

I would imagine Heart of Rock and Roll will post tonight around 6:40 after telling the cast and crew. I'm thinking May 6th. That show has been hemorrhaging money week to week.

[Fordham2015]

Posted: 4/30/24 at 12:24pm

I didn't even like Back to the Future and I know it's not going anywhere when it's making a million a week

[EDSOSLO858]

Posted: 4/30/24 at 12:31pm

All four literary adaptations this spring at least make it to Labor Day. Suffs closes mid-August. 

Tommy and Back to the Future will reach January and beyond. 

[VintageSnarker]

Posted: 4/30/24 at 12:32pm

Theatrefanboy1 said: "the notebook- closes by September long weekend

water for elephants - closes in January

Hell’s Kitchen - doesn’t make it a year

the only one I really see having staying power is The Outsiders. It kind of is building that newsies fan base"

I don't think The Notebook was being powered by critical praise to begin with. Once some of the other musicals fall away, it could be the sentimental romantic show some audiences want. 

With Hell's Kitchen, I wouldn't ignore the lack of other jukebox shows. I don't think there's the same nostalgia as there is for Carole King or MJ but this could last a while. 

Newsies didn't run that long.

[MayAudraBlessYou2]

Posted: 4/30/24 at 12:36pm

I think Heart of Rock and Roll likely announces closing this evening. The only caveat is that they clearly have other plans for this one: it's built for a tour and cruise ships, directly appealing to middle America (I mean the plot...do I follow my dreams of working a great factory job or follow my dreams of playing with my friends in a band?). I think those markets really are their end goal, so there's a chance they throw money into it for a few more weeks if they need to get more road producers (and other potential clients) to see it. 

Lempicka could announce closing today. But it wouldn't surprise me if they delay it a bit just to save face and let their nominees at least enjoy the week without bad news. 

I don't see anything else in imminent danger. The Wiz was skunked but is raking in money and is already a limited run. The Great Gatsby has name recognition to sell through at least the summer. Back to the Future was never staking its success on Tony nominations, another show where the property is a bigger sell than any awards, reviews, or stars. The Notebook might need to come up with a new advertising angle as running past the summer will be tricky, but it should be fine for a bit.

[jkcohen626]

Posted: 4/30/24 at 1:07pm

VintageSnarker said: "Newsies didn't run that long."

Newsies ran 1000 performances. Any of these shows would KILL for a Newsies-length run. 

[EDSOSLO858]

Posted: 4/30/24 at 1:38pm

Matt Gould just confirmed to me that Lempicka is closing early May. 

[ErmengardeStopSniveling]

Posted: 4/30/24 at 1:38pm

As far as musicals go, HoR&R and LEMPICKA are the only closing notices I expect before the Tonys. I could see LEMPICKA waiting until after Thursday's Tony Nominees Press Junket to announce, so Eden & Amber don't get bombarded with questions about the closing.

SUFFS, OUTSIDERS, and HELL'S KITCHEN all feel like equal possibilities for Best Musical, and they'll be running rigorous campaigns. The next 8 weeks will dictate the lengths of runs. 

BACK TO THE FUTURE is going nowhere unless its grosses dip a lot.

ILLINOISE and THE WIZ are limited runs through August. No possible extension at the St. J for Illinoise, but The Wiz would probably like to extend through January or beyond if sales allow. (The Wiz tour resumes in early 2025)

Everything else feels destined to close in 4-8 months (between September & January), depending on how the grosses are. TOMMY, NOTEBOOK, W4E, GATSBY. Other Best Musical losers may join this list if sales don't continue to build.

Updated On: 4/30/24 at 01:38 PM

[The8re phan]

Posted: 4/30/24 at 1:40pm

EDSOSLO858 said: "Matt Gould just confirmed tome that Lempicka is closing early May."

'early May' starts tomorrow............... 

Updated On: 4/30/24 at 01:40 PM

[The Distinctive Baritone]

Posted: 4/30/24 at 1:45pm

Grosses from last week are out and listed HERE

New shows playing at obviously below-the-nut (in some case, very, very below) include:

Lempica ($288K...yikes)

Heart of Rock and Roll ($371K...another yikes))

Illinoise ($728K...not bad but not good either)

Suffs ($630K)