Official Way Too Early 2018 Tony Predictions Thread — Page 17

anislander said: "I would LOVE for Benson to get nominated as well, since he really stole the show for me. I think in a loaded category like this one though, he's likely to get overlooked. Bummer, because I really think that he deserves recognition for this role."

Really, though... if a lot of people are having this sentiment, why do we think he'll be overlooked? Stachel is the frontrunner from the show for sure (in this category), but if there's a second I'd love for it to be Benson. Even Adam Kantor has a chance, given that he sings one of the most loved songs in the score. Nothing against John Cariani at all - I think he's great - I just don't totally understand why Itzik is getting so much buzz, since it wasn't a very prominent role to me. (Also, knowing that Stachel and Benson are good friends in real life, and given the characters' relationship in the show, it would be so awesome to see them nominated together!)

Speaking for myself, I was wholly moved by Cariani's hilarious and ultimately very heartbreaking performance. The lullaby he sings to his son towards the end of the show, calling himself a loser and pointing out all his shortcomings, wrecked me. I also think his scenes with his wife are some of the show's best (THE best discrediting Lenk's scenes), and think it would be wonderful if Kristen Sieh received a nomination in the featured category—though that is highly unlikely, I know. There really isn't a weak performance in the bunch, though. Stachel is a lock for the nod for sure, as are Lenk (who'll win) and Shalhoub (who won't), and any other additional nominations will be a sweet bonus in my opinion.

TFMH18 said: "There really isn't a weak performance in the bunch, though."

That's the truth. It's a shame that deserving people will inevitably be left out (I feel the exact same about Once On This Island), but such is the unfair nature of awards shows.

Good to know about Cariani's performance! Pomme Koch played the role when I saw it, and I thought he was excellent, but it's not a role I've really thought about that much after the show compared with other characters who stood out to me.

I have what might be a stupid question, but are the scores of Margaritaville and Summer eligible for best score?

With tonight's raves, I feel extremely safe saying that My Fair Lady will win Best Revival of a Musical.

I wouldn't. It got positive reviews, but it wasn't unanimous raves. OOTI's still very much in the race.

If anything, the reviews made Ambrose a little bit more of a threat to Lenk for Best Actress (though I still think it's Lenk's).

I know that critics and tony voters are a whole different group and mindset (although I think some critics are voters as well - I may be wrong) but as My Fair Lady is getting positive to rave reviews I just want to group the following shows as per critics to get a sense of who will triumph on Tony night... pls. Feel free to correct any errors



RAVE REVIEWS (Across the Board):

THE BAND’S VISIT

ONCE ON THIS ISLAND

ANGELS IN AMERICA

THREE TALL WOMEN



POSITIVE TO RAVE:

MY FAIR LADY

SPONGEBOB

THE CHILDREN

FARRINELI AND THE KING

LOBBY HERO



MIXED TO POSITIVE:

CAROUSEL

MEAN GIRLS

FROZEN

1984

TIME AND THE CONWAYS

JUNK

CHILDREN OF A LESSER GOD

MARVIN’S ROOM

METEOR SHOWER



NEGATIVE TO MIXED:

THE PARISIAN WOMAN

ESCAPE TO MARGARITAVILLE

M BUTTERFLY

Without having seen Ambrose, I will be very saddened to not see Lenk take it. One of the best performances I have ever seen and one that will stick with me forever. However, one thing to mention is that in the past decade, the award for Best Leading Actress in a Musical has only gone to original roles twice (if you don't count Carole King, then only once to Alice Ripley as Diana), so that will also make this a very interesting race. I believe the most up in the air categories are revival (with an edge to My Fair Lady) and all of the musical acting categories. For a rather dull season, awards night will be rather interesting.

Maybe it's because I fell asleep during TBV, but Lenk's character felt more like a supporting role in an ensemble show than a leading one. Especially compared to Eliza.

Elegance101 said: "theatretenor2 said: "Maybe it's because I fell asleep during TBV, but Lenk's character felt more like a supporting role in an ensemble show than a leading one. Especially compared to Eliza."

Honey, you got a storm coming."

I absolutely loved the music, but the show itself was a slow burn for me. Maybe it was because I saw it the first night of previews, but I just didn't love the show.

I'm still mad Julie Andrews didn't win. I wasn't there, but still! An iconic role and iconic performer!

Ambrose will likely win the Drama Desk Award. That is a lovely compensation prize.



And this has nothing to do with the Tony Awards but come on- this woman is amazing

Katrina Lenk performs at Broadway Backwards

Updated On: 4/19/18 at 10:59 PM

Markie27 said: "I know that critics and tony voters are a whole different group and mindset (although I think some critics are voters as well - I may be wrong) but as My Fair Lady is getting positive to rave reviews I just want to group the following shows as per critics to get a sense of who will triumph on Tony night... pls. Feel free to correct any errors



RAVE REVIEWS (Across the Board):

THE BAND’S VISIT

ONCE ON THIS ISLAND

ANGELSIN AMERICA

THREE TALL WOMEN



POSITIVE TO RAVE:

MY FAIR LADY

SPONGEBOB

THE CHILDREN

FARRINELI AND THE KING

LOBBY HERO



MIXED TO POSITIVE:

CAROUSEL

MEAN GIRLS

FROZEN

1984

TIME AND THE CONWAYS

JUNK

CHILDREN OF A LESSER GOD

MARVIN’S ROOM

METEOR SHOWER



NEGATIVE TO MIXED:

THE PARISIAN WOMAN

ESCAPE TO MARGARITAVILLE

M BUTTERFLY



"

My Fair Lady is looking more and more like mostly raves. Very positive to borderline raves.