Official Way Too Early 2018 Tony Predictions Thread — Page 18

Ambrose will likely win the Drama Desk Award. That is a lovely compensation prize.

 

And this has nothing to do with the Tony Awards but come on- this woman is amazing

Katrina Lenk performs at Broadway Backwards

Updated On: 4/19/18 at 10:59 PM

Markie27 said: "I know that critics and tony voters are a whole different group and mindset (although I think some critics are voters as well - I may be wrong) but as My Fair Lady is getting positive to rave reviews I just want to group the following shows as per critics to get a sense of who will triumph on Tony night... pls. Feel free to correct any errors



RAVE REVIEWS (Across the Board):

THE BAND’S VISIT

ONCE ON THIS ISLAND

ANGELSIN AMERICA

THREE TALL WOMEN



POSITIVE TO RAVE:

MY FAIR LADY

SPONGEBOB

THE CHILDREN

FARRINELI AND THE KING

LOBBY HERO



MIXED TO POSITIVE:

CAROUSEL

MEAN GIRLS

FROZEN

1984

TIME AND THE CONWAYS

JUNK

CHILDREN OF A LESSER GOD

MARVIN’S ROOM

METEOR SHOWER



NEGATIVE TO MIXED:

THE PARISIAN WOMAN

ESCAPE TO MARGARITAVILLE

M BUTTERFLY



"

My Fair Lady is looking more and more like mostly raves. Very positive to borderline raves.

 

I would just like to take a moment to rant about the fact that people believe Gavin Lee isn't a lock. Listen, I understand it's been 4 months since that show opened, but we can't forget about that performance. Butz is pretty good, Cariani and Stachel give swell performances, and Alex Newell's "Mama Will Provide" is really great, but none of them have an absolute showstopper like Gavin does. He said on Live At Five the other day that he literally has to be on an oxygen tank following "You're Not a Loser". Gavin's performance is fantastic top to bottom, and that song is the cherry on top.

Considering the lukewarm reviews towards Butz last night, I find it absurd that Gavin Lee isn't the favorite right now. However, it's a farce that the majority of people believe he may not get a nomination.

willrolandsframes said: "I would just like to take a moment to rant about the fact that people believe Gavin Lee isn't a lock. Listen, I understand it's been 4 months since that show opened, but we can't forget about that performance. Butz is pretty good, Cariani and Stachel give swell performances, and Alex Newell's "Mama Will Provide" is really great, but none of them have an absolute showstopper like Gavin does. He said on Live At Five the other day that he literally has to be on an oxygen tank following "You're Not a Loser". Gavin's performance is fantastic top to bottom, and that song is the cherry on top.

Considering the lukewarm reviews towards Butz last night, I find it absurd that Gavin Lee isn't the favorite right now. However, it's a farce that the majority of people believe he may not get a nomination."

I agree with your last statement. Gavin is giving a great performance, but I doubt he will even get a nomination. If he gets one, theres almost no shot at winning.

Alex M said: "And the Tony Award goes to Squidward TORTELLINI?!?"

I just laughed out loud at my desk

willrolandsframes said: "I would just like to take a moment to rant about the fact that people believe Gavin Lee isn't a lock. Listen, I understand it's been 4 months since that show opened, but we can't forget about that performance. Butz is pretty good, Cariani and Stachel give swell performances, and Alex Newell's "Mama Will Provide" is really great, but none of them have an absolute showstopper like Gavin does. He said on Live At Five the other day that he literally has to be on an oxygen tank following "You're Not a Loser". Gavin's performance is fantastic top to bottom, and that song is the cherry on top.

Considering the lukewarm reviews towards Butz last night, I find it absurd that Gavin Lee isn't the favorite right now. However, it's a farce that the majority of people believe he may not get a nomination."

I agree with all of this!! 

^Agreed. They have equal shots to win. MY FAIR LADY is a classic and "the most perfect show" like KING & I and HELLO DOLLY. But, OOTI was revived and reborn to a new fresh creation. I haven't seen MFL, but I loved loved OOTI.

With the raves that she re-created Eliza to more complex and independent, I think Lauren Ambrose is going to win the Tony. B/c of the critical "meh" reception with Harry, I think Best Leading Actor will be between Joshua & Ethan.

I would love to see Barrett being nominated and I think Ashley or/and Kate will join her. 

GeorgeandDot said: "Katrina Lenk will win the Tony for Lead Actress.

I think this will be a situation like Fiddler, She Loves Me, and Spring Awakening vs. The Color Purple. I would argue that The Color Purple is the weakest written musical out of those four, but it had a stunning production that elevated the material to a whole new level. My Fair Lady and Carousel are better musicals than OOTI, but this new production has really heightened the material of that show. It's harder to do a brilliant production of a so-so musical than it is to do a good production of a brilliant musical. I would cast my vote to OOTI for making me love a show that I hadn't really cared much for before."

They both deserve to win, but as we know that doesn't really mean anything.