cam5y said: "s2ss2s said: "I am unapologetic in the bias that encourages me, a Canadian, to root for Come From Away. But putting aside all discussions of merit which throw this whole board into a flame war (I haven't seen the other three shows but I believe everyone who says they are phenomenal productions!), I am almost certain CFA will not win Best Musical, and the reason it won't win is that it is not an American show and this is a very crowded year. I've heard commentators call it being a Canadian production the biggest knock against it from a Tony voters perspective.
I can assure this board that it would tour incredibly successfully in Canada, and could do so for years at very high ticket prices (and my bias impresses that it could tour easily throughout the world!), but I don't think it will be the decider in the overall vote. I think it would be a disservice to the unique structure of the show for it to go home empty-handed overall, IMO, but like I said - I'm biased, and not really interested in being called stupid for admitting as much. I do think the best case scenario for CFA is winning Best Book but losing Best Musical, the same fate that fell upon Canada's only previous Broadway success, The Drowsy Chaperone (who could argue, though, that Jersey Boys tours so much better than Drowsy ever would have?)."
I'm a big fan of Come From Away, and would like it to win Best New Musical. But if it doesn't, it won't be because it's Canadian, or because of how it would tour. It will be because a majority of Tony voters thought another musical was better. Tony voters have gone for British and Australian musicals, plays and actors (Billy Elliott, Curious Incident, War Horse, Mark Rylance, Hugh Jackman, Cynthia Erivo) in the recent past. The best discussions on this board are the serious discussions of merit.
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I truly agree. Serious discussions of merit are the best. I just see a lot of flamethrowing over opinions, and I am admittedly seeing a lot of discussion, north of the border, on the Canadian musical's chances. This point is brought up repeatedly, and says nothing about the merit of any shows. Those who think CFA could take Best Musical repeatedly cite that it is timely, bigger than the sum of its parts, etc., neither of which imply much in the way of merit.
We know awards shows can be, and often are, quite political, and I'm just bringing something into the discussion that not only helps counter the position of everyone's least favorite theatre writer, but reminds that merit is rarely the sole factor in any awards given out based on votes. Would that it could be, but it's my opinion that we all know better...