Which shows will Covid-19 end?- Page 8

[AnnieBlack]

Posted: 3/31/20 at 7:11am

I'm expecting that Music Man will probably be delayed a year at this point... 

[MollyJeanneMusic]

Posted: 3/31/20 at 8:29am

AnnieBlack said: "I'm expecting that Music Man will probably be delayed a year at this point..."

Something tells me that Rudin is going to wait as long as he can to put off Music Man.  Remember, at the beginning of all of this, he lowered ticket prices just to get more people into the theatre.  If anyone is going to try to open a show as soon as the Broadway embargo is lifted, it'll be him.

[Stephen75]

Posted: 3/31/20 at 10:41am

I do think MM has the potential to be a big, fuzzy hit that could be really helpful in bringing back Broadway. If anyone can do it, it can be Jackman. 

I also imagine Mockingbird would be safe? 

[jo]

Posted: 3/31/20 at 11:06am

If conditions permit...and they can open THE MUSIC MAN, at the very least during Thanksgiving Week -- that is going to resonate very much with audiences. The show is a classic and well-loved musical which focuses on small-town America, at a much happier time! I can just imagine what the audience reaction will be if they start singing/playing "SEVENTY SIX TROMBONES"!  A very triumphant feeling, after what America might have gone through, by that time!

[markypoo]

Posted: 3/31/20 at 11:14am

Interesting (to me, anyway) that of the current Broadway season's offerings that were either in previews or about to begin; only two of them have announced cancellations thus far.

[MattieIce2018]

Posted: 3/31/20 at 2:38pm

The other day, Rob McClure was on Seth Rudetsky's Stars From The House show and he mentioned that the cast of Mrs. Doubtfire was doing readings over video conference to keep them refreshed with the material. Maybe the creatives are using this time to make some of the changes they were planning to make during previews? Either way, looks like they're still hoping to reopen when this is over.

[YvanEhtNioj]

Posted: 3/31/20 at 2:43pm

MattieIce2018 said: "The other day, Rob McClure was on Seth Rudetsky's Stars From The House show and he mentioned that the cast of Mrs. Doubtfire was doing readings over video conference to keep them refreshed with the material. Maybe the creatives are using this time to make some of the changes they were planning to make during previews? Either way, looks like they're still hoping to reopen when this is over."

That's good that they're utilizing this time wisely, because they are the first show I was expecting to end. 
I'm also kind of sad that Once Upon A One More Time is being pushed back.  

[JayElle]

Posted: 3/31/20 at 6:53pm

Jo, wrote in part: "If conditions permit...and they can open THE MUSIC MAN, at the very least during Thanksgiving Week -- that is going to resonate very much with audiences...I can just imagine what the audience reaction will be if they start singing/playing "SEVENTY SIX TROMBONES"!  A very triumphant feeling, after what America might have gone through, by that time!"

Saw the D.C. Kennedy Ctr MM production Feb. 2019 w/Norm Lewis, Jessee Mueller, & Rosie O'Donnell, & more. 76 Trombones blew the roof off with the audience when all theater exit doors opened and in came the Univ of Maryland marching band playing it..in uniform with trombones, bassoons, and more.

Just before they did, the cast faked the audience out trying to play that song w/kazoos. Norm Lewis blew his whistle, doors opened, and in marched the Univ band. Was extraordinary. Doubt Rudin would ever or the musician union would allow it.

[Sutton Ross]

Posted: 3/31/20 at 6:55pm

Hamilton has been officially canceled in San Francisco. They were supposed to be there until the end of May. Shame. 

[EDSOSLO858]

Posted: 4/1/20 at 12:18am

The following is a full list of shows that I believe will somehow (or will officially, according to press) stay open after the crisis ends, hopefully after Labor Day:

Aladdin

The Book of Mormon

Caroline, or Change

Come from Away

Company

Dear Evan Hansen 

Flying Over Sunset

Hadestown

Hamilton

The Lion King

Moulin Rouge!

Mrs. Doubtfire

The Music Man

The Phantom of the Opera

Plaza Suite

Six

To Kill a Mockingbird

West Side Story

Wicked

 

This leaves over half of Broadway vacant come September. I don't even think Chicago, Frozen, Harry Potter, Ain't Too Proud, and Jagged Little Pill will survive, though they were making decent cash not long ago. Diana and North Country weren't sellers from day one, most straight plays don't even stand a chance against this crisis, and Beetlejuice was closing up shop anyway. Leave it to Hugh Jackman to win back Broadway and its fans. He will probably win a Tony next year to boot, and maybe even host the ceremony as well (like he did in '04). That would make some good cash and hopefully put more butts in those seats.

[novel idea]

Posted: 4/1/20 at 12:34am

Most of these are completely baseless and you shouldn’t make such uneducated assumptions.

[KKeller6]

Posted: 4/1/20 at 1:34am

Im not understanding why a lot of these shows won't reopen. Some of them, sure. But shows like Chicago? They're not paying anybody. They have no stars. No worries about important cast who have other obligations. And the shows do have some insurance protection. How much,I don't know. But their bills will be minimal over this time.

[Fosse76]

Posted: 4/1/20 at 4:28am

KKeller6 said: "Im not understanding why a lot of these shows won't reopen. Some of them, sure. But shows like Chicago? They're not paying anybody. They have no stars. No worries about important cast who have other obligations. And the shows do have some insurance protection. How much,I don't know. But their bills will be minimal over this time. "

Presumably, their current expenses would be theater rent and any equipment rentals. I assume insurance premiums also continue. I think people are putting too much stock into the insurance payouts received by each show. The long- running hit shows have years of profits they could potentially fall back on. Newer hit shows might have a harder time.  But new shows, like Company,  might not be so lucky. 

[disneybroadwayfan22]

Posted: 4/1/20 at 6:28am

Why would Frozen close though? Yes it’s apparently the least-selling Disney show on Broadway, but it’s FROZEN. It’ll bounce back quickly.

[BWAY Baby2]

Posted: 4/1/20 at 6:39am

What about Lehman Trilogy? Do you think that will open at all?

[kdogg36]

Posted: 4/1/20 at 9:30am

Fosse76 said: "Presumably, their current expenses would be theater rent and any equipment rentals."

I’m having trouble wrapping my mind around this. If the government, for whatever reason, shut down my apartment building for several months - and prohibited me from getting my stuff out - I would not expect to owe rent for that period. Could someone explain why it’s different in this case?

 

[saxpower]

Posted: 4/1/20 at 10:20am

kdogg36 said: "Fosse76 said: "Presumably, their current expenses would be theater rent and any equipment rentals."

I’m having trouble wrapping my mind around this. If the government, for whatever reason, shut down my apartment building for several months - and prohibited me from getting my stuff out - I would not expect to owe rent for that period. Could someone explain why it’s different in this case?

    There's another question as well- if a production can't pay rent, the owners essentially have a choice- make the production leave, and, (a) if restrictions do NOT allow the "load out" to occur, still have to wait for load out to occur when the shows before anyone else can take the theatre over or (b) even if load out can occur, have an empty theatre when shows reopen at a time when funds for new productions may be limited at best OR let them stay and at least have something in the theatre when shows reopen. 

[AndreyIsntHere]

Posted: 4/1/20 at 2:20pm

WICKED film has been postponed indefinitely, but let's be real, it'd be postponed anyway even if not for a global pandemic.

[suicidalmickeymouse]

Posted: 4/1/20 at 6:48pm

I think Jagged will come back. It was doing really well!

[ACL2006]

Posted: 4/1/20 at 7:34pm

suicidalmickeymouse said: "I think Jagged will come back. It was doing really well!"

 

Agreed.

[alogan1814]

Posted: 4/2/20 at 1:59am

suicidalmickeymouse said: "I think Jagged will come back. It was doing really well!"

I hope it will so it can have a chance at best orchestrations and lauren patten gets a chance at a tony. The ensemble is also fantastic if they ever make a best ensemble tony. But it was on TDF most days since previews and has only been open since December so i'm not sure if it will open back up. 

Updated On: 4/2/20 at 01:59 AM

[Theatrefanboy1]

Posted: 4/2/20 at 7:17am

I’m actually beginning to think that many “open running” shows. Even ones who had been in previews will actually open. I think that in order to claim some of the government benefits that they have put together these theatres/producers will have to open as planned. Mind you some may not last too long. But I think that it order to collect they will have to show some form of trying to continue as usual. But I honestly still think we will be lucky to see broadway sized theatres opportunity by end of September
/October.

I just think most of the limited run shows will be canceling in the coming weeks as their performance schedule passes by.

[BroadwayBrat]

Posted: 4/2/20 at 9:42am

When shows re-open, I also wonder how many people will be ready to attend a show and buy tickets for future shows? 

As many have said, it may take a while before people are comfortable going out and sitting in a relatively small space and sitting very close to strangers.   We all know Broadway WILL come back. The real question is what will it look like?  $300-$600 premium seats? Probably not. 

Sadly, I think the number of shows that don't reopen or are forced to close due to low attendance and poor advance sales will be far worse than many people are predicting.   

[PipingHotPiccolo]

Posted: 4/2/20 at 10:43am

this seems to be the correct calculus, ie its a Q of when producers are confident that theatergoers will return. the long running shows and the theater owners and the gov will work it out so that the big hits dont shutter, i guess, but assuming the State of NY authorizes reopening Broadway on July 4 (just making up a date), does anyone think that on July 15 the theaters will be full? THere will be a crush of theater nerds, sure, but there will still be (i) absence of tourists and (ii) absence or $$ for people to spend and (iii) widespread fear about sitting in a crowded room with 1000 strangers.

 

I dont think any of these three factors will go away all that quickly, which is why I think Broadway, like the hotel industry, is in for a bit of a longer haul than many other industries. THere will be significant lag even after Cuomo opens us back up.

[IAMREADING]

Posted: 4/2/20 at 7:11pm

AnnieBlack said: "I'm expecting that Music Man will probably be delayed a year at this point..."

What would this mean for Beetlejuice? Could they extend their stay at The Winter Garden?