Which shows will Covid-19 end? — Page 8

AnnieBlack said: "I'm expecting that Music Man will probably be delayed a year at this point..."

Something tells me that Rudin is going to wait as long as he can to put off Music Man. Remember, at the beginning of all of this, he lowered ticket prices just to get more people into the theatre. If anyone is going to try to open a show as soon as the Broadway embargo is lifted, it'll be him.

If conditions permit...and they can open THE MUSIC MAN, at the very least during Thanksgiving Week -- that is going to resonate very much with audiences. The show is a classic and well-loved musical which focuses on small-town America, at a much happier time! I can just imagine what the audience reaction will be if they start singing/playing "SEVENTY SIX TROMBONES"! A very triumphant feeling, after what America might have gone through, by that time!

The other day, Rob McClure was on Seth Rudetsky's Stars From The House show and he mentioned that the cast of Mrs. Doubtfire was doing readings over video conference to keep them refreshed with the material. Maybe the creatives are using this time to make some of the changes they were planning to make during previews? Either way, looks like they're still hoping to reopen when this is over.

Jo, wrote in part: "If conditions permit...and they can open THE MUSIC MAN, at the very least during Thanksgiving Week -- that is going to resonate very much with audiences...I can just imagine what the audience reaction will be if they start singing/playing "SEVENTY SIX TROMBONES"! A very triumphant feeling, after what America might have gone through, by that time!"

Saw the D.C. Kennedy Ctr MM production Feb. 2019 w/Norm Lewis, Jessee Mueller, & Rosie O'Donnell, & more. 76 Trombones blew the roof off with the audience when all theater exit doors opened and in came the Univ of Maryland marching band playing it..in uniform with trombones, bassoons, and more.

Just before they did, the cast faked the audience out trying to play that song w/kazoos. Norm Lewis blew his whistle, doors opened, and in marched the Univ band. Was extraordinary. Doubt Rudin would ever or the musician union would allow it.

The following is a full list of shows that I believe will somehow (or will officially, according to press) stay open after the crisis ends, hopefully after Labor Day:

Aladdin

The Book of Mormon

Caroline, or Change

Come from Away

Company

Dear Evan Hansen

Flying Over Sunset

Hadestown

Hamilton

The Lion King

Moulin Rouge!

Mrs. Doubtfire

The Music Man

The Phantom of the Opera

Plaza Suite

Six

To Kill a Mockingbird

West Side Story

Wicked



This leaves over half of Broadway vacant come September. I don't even think Chicago, Frozen, Harry Potter, Ain't Too Proud, and Jagged Little Pill will survive, though they were making decent cash not long ago. Diana and North Country weren't sellers from day one, most straight plays don't even stand a chance against this crisis, and Beetlejuice was closing up shop anyway. Leave it to Hugh Jackman to win back Broadway and its fans. He will probably win a Tony next year to boot, and maybe even host the ceremony as well (like he did in '04). That would make some good cash and hopefully put more butts in those seats.

Fosse76 said: "Presumably, their current expenses would be theater rent and any equipment rentals."

I’m having trouble wrapping my mind around this. If the government, for whatever reason, shut down my apartment building for several months - and prohibited me from getting my stuff out - I would not expect to owe rent for that period. Could someone explain why it’s different in this case?

WICKED film has been postponed indefinitely, but let's be real, it'd be postponed anyway even if not for a global pandemic.

suicidalmickeymouse said: "I think Jagged will come back. It was doing really well!"



Agreed.

this seems to be the correct calculus, ie its a Q of when producers are confident that theatergoers will return. the long running shows and the theater owners and the gov will work it out so that the big hits dont shutter, i guess, but assuming the State of NY authorizes reopening Broadway on July 4 (just making up a date), does anyone think that on July 15 the theaters will be full? THere will be a crush of theater nerds, sure, but there will still be (i) absence of tourists and (ii) absence or $$ for people to spend and (iii) widespread fear about sitting in a crowded room with 1000 strangers.



I dont think any of these three factors will go away all that quickly, which is why I think Broadway, like the hotel industry, is in for a bit of a longer haul than many other industries. THere will be significant lag even after Cuomo opens us back up.