I totally agree that Answer Me didn't play as well on the Today Show. (I love the song and loved the show, but that turntable stage is so key!) I'm really hoping they do Welcome to Nowhere - there's so much wit in the show and it really shows that off. Maybe a medley of that and Omar Sharif. Itgara'a/Something Different is beautiful in the show, but I think would be a really terrible choice out of context when people don't know these characters. Even in the show, as gorgeous as it is, I felt slightly fidgety. It's not really an attention-grabber... I love it much more in hindsight on the album.
I'm hoping that OOTI has exhausted their Mama Will Provide performing and will do something different on the Tonys! I'd love to see We Dance, though they'll probably want to play up Hailey... though I don't think they'd do a full Waiting for Life. Really interested to see what they ultimately pick. (One Small Girl would be my dream as it's my favorite from that score, but I know it's a long shot... even though it pairs flawlessly with Waiting for Life.)
The more I think about it, I think SpongeBob should do I'm Not a Loser. Maybe they can do a quick intro with Ethan so people get a sense of his character (like Shrek did), but I think that flashy spectacle would absolutely kill on the Tonys!
I really think Frozen should stick with one of the well-known songs. Give the people what they want. My gut says they'll do For The First Time in Forever, but who knows. Maybe they'll just go all in and do Let It Go (if they can technically do the dress trick on the Radio City stage).
I'm torn on Carousel... though now that Renée Fleming is nominated, I'm formally leaning towards June Is Busting Out All Over, especially since it's June. (June June June) Rooting for Blow High Blow Low, though. I know a lot of fans of the show thought it was weird and out of place, but that's the one number from the show that I'd really love to see again.